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Home / Futures Blog / Crude oil futures rise as supplies slip

Crude oil futures rise as supplies slip

May 14, 2014 by Daniels Trading

Reduced stockpiles prompted West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures to advance on Wednesday, marking the third consecutive trading session of gains, according to Bloomberg.

The bullish trend of the energy commodity is its longest streak in 21-plus days and comes after the American Petroleum Institute noted on Tuesday that supplies fell by 590,000 at the Cushing, Oklahoma facility for WTI crude oil. The Energy Information Administration, the accounting arm of the U.S. Department of Energy, is slated to release nationwide data about crude oil on Wednesday. The International Energy Agency is slated to release monthly estimates of worldwide oil demand on Thursday morning in the French capital.

Acting Defense Minister Mykhaylo Koval of Ukraine said his nation's security services are engaged in an "undeclared war" with Russia, the news source reports. That raises questions about the integrity of supply lines of the energy commodity.

"Prices have gained momentum from reports showing a draw-down in Cushing inventories," states a Wednesday email authored by chief oil market strategist Amrita Sen with research firm Energy Aspects Ltd. in London, according to Bloomberg.

At 8:39 a.m. on Wednesday, WTI crude oil futures edged up 0.29 percent, a 30-cent lift to $102 per barrel. At 8:40 a.m., Brent crude oil futures rose 0.45 percent, a 49-cent rise to $109.73 per barrel.

Ukraine, Russia continue strife
While the energy commodity's value is influenced by inventory data, the ongoing conflict between Ukraine and Russia also is key to its performance these days. Ukraine ousted the prime minister in February, prompting Russian forces to file into the Crimea region. Russia then annexed that region following a referendum and Ukraine security services have been battling pro-Russian militants.

Ukraine has solicited Russian condemnation of the separatists' uprising amid charges that Russia is bolstering the uprising.

"Falling Cushing stockpiles are having the biggest impact on rising crude prices at the moment," commodities analyst Will Yun with Hyundai Futures Co. in Seoul told the news source on Wednesday. "Tension in Ukraine is another factor that has been driving and supporting the upward streak in WTI prices."

Iran, west to conduct negotiations
India, host of one of the globe's emerging markets, slashed monthly imports of crude oil from Iran by 42 percent from March to April, according to Reuters.

That demonstrates the effort that Asian nations are backing off strong purchases from early this year as oil-rich Iran attempts to emerge from sanctions via a deal reached with Western nations in the middle of January.

The interim deal involving Iran will be the centerpiece of three days of dialogue set to begin on Wednesday in the Austrian capital. Six nations' representatives will conduct negotiations with Irani officials as part of a drive to finalize a resolution that addresses concerns about the country's nuclear ambitions.

OPEC forecasts rising demand
MarketWatch reports global oil demand is forecast to increase by 1.14 million barrels per day this year, according to the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries. The monthly demand is slated to be 91.15 million barrels per day.

A sizable amount of that demand hails from China and the Middle Eastern nations, according to the organization.

"Almost half of annual oil demand growth is seen coming from China and the Middle East," OPEC stated, according to MarketWatch.

But non-OPEC production growth also is slated to register increases this year.

The average production of those nations is forecast to be an average of 1.38 million barrels per day, which represents an increase from the 1.35 from last year.

China, the globe's second-largest consumer of crude oil, said industrial production last month fell to 8.7 percent while retail-sales growth dropped to 11.9 percent in March.

Risk Disclosure

THIS MATERIAL IS CONVEYED AS A SOLICITATION FOR ENTERING INTO A DERIVATIVES TRANSACTION.

THIS MATERIAL HAS BEEN PREPARED BY A DANIELS TRADING BROKER WHO PROVIDES RESEARCH MARKET COMMENTARY AND TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS AS PART OF HIS OR HER SOLICITATION FOR ACCOUNTS AND SOLICITATION FOR TRADES; HOWEVER, DANIELS TRADING DOES NOT MAINTAIN A RESEARCH DEPARTMENT AS DEFINED IN CFTC RULE 1.71. DANIELS TRADING, ITS PRINCIPALS, BROKERS AND EMPLOYEES MAY TRADE IN DERIVATIVES FOR THEIR OWN ACCOUNTS OR FOR THE ACCOUNTS OF OTHERS. DUE TO VARIOUS FACTORS (SUCH AS RISK TOLERANCE, MARGIN REQUIREMENTS, TRADING OBJECTIVES, SHORT TERM VS. LONG TERM STRATEGIES, TECHNICAL VS. FUNDAMENTAL MARKET ANALYSIS, AND OTHER FACTORS) SUCH TRADING MAY RESULT IN THE INITIATION OR LIQUIDATION OF POSITIONS THAT ARE DIFFERENT FROM OR CONTRARY TO THE OPINIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS CONTAINED THEREIN.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES CONTRACTS OR COMMODITY OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL, AND THEREFORE INVESTORS SHOULD UNDERSTAND THE RISKS INVOLVED IN TAKING LEVERAGED POSITIONS AND MUST ASSUME RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH SUCH INVESTMENTS AND FOR THEIR RESULTS.

TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS AND PROFIT/LOSS CALCULATIONS MAY NOT INCLUDE COMMISSIONS AND FEES. PLEASE CONSULT YOUR BROKER FOR DETAILS BASED ON YOUR TRADING ARRANGEMENT AND COMMISSION SETUP.

YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR CIRCUMSTANCES AND FINANCIAL RESOURCES. YOU SHOULD READ THE "RISK DISCLOSURE" WEBPAGE ACCESSED AT WWW.DANIELSTRADING.COM AT THE BOTTOM OF THE HOMEPAGE. DANIELS TRADING IS NOT AFFILIATED WITH NOR DOES IT ENDORSE ANY TRADING SYSTEM, NEWSLETTER OR OTHER SIMILAR SERVICE. DANIELS TRADING DOES NOT GUARANTEE OR VERIFY ANY PERFORMANCE CLAIMS MADE BY SUCH SYSTEMS OR SERVICE.

GLOBAL ASSET ADVISORS, LLC (“GAA”) (DBA: DANIELS TRADING, TOP THIRD AG MARKETING AND FUTURES ONLINE) IS AN INTRODUCING BROKER TO GAIN CAPITAL GROUP, LLC (GCG) A FUTURES COMMISSION MERCHANT AND RETAIL FOREIGN EXCHANGE DEALER. GAA AND GCG ARE WHOLLY OWNED SUBSIDIARIES OF STONEX GROUP INC. (NASDAQ:SNEX) THE ULTIMATE PARENT COMPANY.

Filed Under: Archived News

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Daniels Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm located in the heart of Chicago’s financial district. Established by renowned commodity trader Andy Daniels in 1995, Daniels Trading is built on a culture of trust committed to the firm’s mission of Independence, Objectivity and Reliability.

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Risk Disclosure

THIS MATERIAL IS CONVEYED AS A SOLICITATION FOR ENTERING INTO A DERIVATIVES TRANSACTION.

THIS MATERIAL HAS BEEN PREPARED BY A DANIELS TRADING BROKER WHO PROVIDES RESEARCH MARKET COMMENTARY AND TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS AS PART OF HIS OR HER SOLICITATION FOR ACCOUNTS AND SOLICITATION FOR TRADES; HOWEVER, DANIELS TRADING DOES NOT MAINTAIN A RESEARCH DEPARTMENT AS DEFINED IN CFTC RULE 1.71. DANIELS TRADING, ITS PRINCIPALS, BROKERS AND EMPLOYEES MAY TRADE IN DERIVATIVES FOR THEIR OWN ACCOUNTS OR FOR THE ACCOUNTS OF OTHERS. DUE TO VARIOUS FACTORS (SUCH AS RISK TOLERANCE, MARGIN REQUIREMENTS, TRADING OBJECTIVES, SHORT TERM VS. LONG TERM STRATEGIES, TECHNICAL VS. FUNDAMENTAL MARKET ANALYSIS, AND OTHER FACTORS) SUCH TRADING MAY RESULT IN THE INITIATION OR LIQUIDATION OF POSITIONS THAT ARE DIFFERENT FROM OR CONTRARY TO THE OPINIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS CONTAINED THEREIN.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES CONTRACTS OR COMMODITY OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL, AND THEREFORE INVESTORS SHOULD UNDERSTAND THE RISKS INVOLVED IN TAKING LEVERAGED POSITIONS AND MUST ASSUME RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH SUCH INVESTMENTS AND FOR THEIR RESULTS.

TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS AND PROFIT/LOSS CALCULATIONS MAY NOT INCLUDE COMMISSIONS AND FEES. PLEASE CONSULT YOUR BROKER FOR DETAILS BASED ON YOUR TRADING ARRANGEMENT AND COMMISSION SETUP.

YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR CIRCUMSTANCES AND FINANCIAL RESOURCES. YOU SHOULD READ THE "RISK DISCLOSURE" WEBPAGE ACCESSED AT WWW.DANIELSTRADING.COM AT THE BOTTOM OF THE HOMEPAGE. DANIELS TRADING IS NOT AFFILIATED WITH NOR DOES IT ENDORSE ANY TRADING SYSTEM, NEWSLETTER OR OTHER SIMILAR SERVICE. DANIELS TRADING DOES NOT GUARANTEE OR VERIFY ANY PERFORMANCE CLAIMS MADE BY SUCH SYSTEMS OR SERVICE.

GLOBAL ASSET ADVISORS, LLC (“GAA”) (DBA: DANIELS TRADING, TOP THIRD AG MARKETING AND FUTURES ONLINE) IS AN INTRODUCING BROKER TO GAIN CAPITAL GROUP, LLC (GCG) A FUTURES COMMISSION MERCHANT AND RETAIL FOREIGN EXCHANGE DEALER. GAA AND GCG ARE WHOLLY OWNED SUBSIDIARIES OF STONEX GROUP INC. (NASDAQ:SNEX) THE ULTIMATE PARENT COMPANY.

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