Tom Dosdall specializes in working with commercial participants in the agriculture industry, both growers and merchants, to better manage price risk and opportunity for the commodities they buy or sell. As a Series 3 licensed futures and options broker with over a decade of experience, Tom has focused expertise in the corn, soybeans, wheat, cattle, dairy, and lean hog markets. Tom’s extensive brokerage experience includes intertwining physical/cash markets and client profit margins with the intricacies of futures and options strategy execution. Technical price chart analysis used to professionally manage risk or create leverage, as market conditions dictate, is a key component of Tom’s daily interaction with clients. With deep ancillary knowledge of currencies, energies and feed usage, Tom offers his clients a well-rounded perspective and comprehensive guidance.
In addition to serving as a broker, Tom is the creator and publisher of Technical Ag Knowledge, a video e-newsletter spotlighting technical chart formations in the agricultural futures markets.
Videos Featuring Tom
Managed Futures Investment [HD] (7/11/2013) - This video demonstrates the advantages of investing in managed futures with a Daniels Trading professional money manager. Blog Posts by Tom
Technical Ag Knowledge VIDEO Analysis May 9 (5/9/2019) - I'm taking today's price action with a grain of salt as the Volatility Index was spiking to contract highs and traders are hedging and cross-hedging for every possible US/China trade outcome by the end of the week.
Technical Ag Knowledge VIDEO Analysis Apr 25 (4/25/2019) - No doubt this was not the kind of return from Easter producers were looking for. But, consider the following and perhaps the glass is half full...
Technical Ag Knowledge VIDEO Analysis Apr 9 (4/9/2019) - Are the sellers finally scraping the bottom in the corn market? In a different environment where funds were not already record short, today's report could have easily sent the market lower, as analysts again underestimated US and World Ending Stocks. So what does the price action after the data release today tell us and what are the next hurdles to clear?
Technical Ag Knowledge VIDEO Analysis Apr 2 (4/2/2019) - Corn chart damage was obviously done on Friday, following USDA's Prospective Plantings and Quarterly Stocks reports delivered bearish surprises. After that drubbing, however, corn has held in relatively well so far this week.
Technical Ag Knowledge VIDEO Analysis Mar 28 (3/28/2019) - US Dollar strength relative to South American currencies is likely hampering old crop exports in the near term, but managed money funds remain at record short positions combined in corn, soybeans, wheat.
Technical Ag Knowledge VIDEO Analysis Mar 26 (3/26/2019) - The "SELL" button was getting hit at the 50 day moving average these past three days in corn, throwing some cold water on the short covering party.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – March 19, 2019 (3/19/2019) - Moving averages are one of the most basic yet most meaningful indicators out there for potential price support or resistance, in my opinion. Another basic tool is trend lines. When they match up together, I'm taking notice.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – March 14, 2019 (3/14/2019) - Now that the index funds appear to be willing to cover at least some of their extreme short positions in grains, what are some potential technical price targets to consider for the next round of sales or hedges?
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – March 8, 2019 (3/8/2019) - "Index Funds" have the deepest pockets of anyone in the futures markets. That's why it is so insightful to know how they are positioned relative to historical standards.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – February 26, 2019 (2/26/2019) - We've seen the grain markets weak through last summer/fall delivery and it appears no different for March contracts this week.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – February 14, 2019 (2/14/2019) - Bulls showed their jitters as hopes for a China trade deal cooled off, following a more positive tone earlier this week.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – February 12, 2019 (2/12/2019) - Technical trading or hedging opportunities are present in several of the markets (corn, soybeans, wheat, etc.) we follow.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – February 7, 2019 (2/7/2019) - Tomorrow could be a big day for price direction in agricultural commodity markets as USDA is set to deliver a heaping helping of data.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – February 5, 2019 (2/5/2019) - With USDA scheduled to release a big trove of data on Friday, is there some kind of message to read in this price action? We'll take a closer look in today's video
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – January 30, 2019 (1/30/2019) - Take a fresh look at your current marketing positions in advance of a big dump of USDA and CFTC data hitting the market in the days ahead.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – January 24, 2019 (1/24/2019) - The daily charts look a lot like they did on Tuesday, as traders appear hesitant for the time being to break out one way or the other.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – January 22, 2019 (1/22/2019) - In the race to be the first to report a story, we've seen several media outlets erroneously report on the China/US trade situation recently.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – January 17, 2019 (1/17/2019) - "Buying the rumor" was prevalent again today in the grain/oilseed markets, particularly in the 11:00-12:30 CST time frame.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – January 15, 2019 (1/15/2019) - The four month trend line support gave out in nearby corn futures today, likely triggering sell stops and encouraging some of the estimated net long 90,000 "managed money" futures and options traders to seek an exit over the short term.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – January 11, 2019 (1/11/2019) - Despite the lack of a January USDA report today, everyone should be focus on their next move once the government re-opens.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – January 8, 2019 (1/8/2019) - In last week's video, we were talking about price charts for corn, soybeans, and wheat all holding support. So far this week, the shoe is on the other foot, it's all about holding previous resistance.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Video Analysis – January 3, 2019 (1/3/2019) - Several of the markets we track closely are "holding the line" as trading commences for 2019, despite the lack of government data from USDA due to the partial government shutdown.
Technical Ag Knowledge VIDEO Analysis Dec 18 (12/18/2018) - The question weighing on all traders' minds: what will the Fed do tomorrow? Where will macro market prices go? Where will this inverted head & shoulders in corn lead?
Technical Ag Knowledge VIDEO Analysis Dec 13 (12/13/2018) - Did you notice the resistance in a number of the key futures markets? What could that mean for the markets moving forward?
Technical Ag Knowledge VIDEO Analysis Dec 11 (12/11/2018) - What was the result of the hanging man that we looked at last week? There are pennant formations galore that we take a look.
Technical Ag Knowledge VIDEO Analysis Dec 6 (12/6/2018) - What are the charts telling us about the markets today? Did you notice the hanging man pattern in March soybeans?
Technical Ag Knowledge VIDEO Chart Analysis for Dec 4 (12/4/2018) - What is causing the markets to move today? With everything taking place around the US and China "trade truce", the markets have had a lot to think about this week.
Pro Marketing Tip: “Win the Basis Game” (11/27/2018) - #1 Rule of Cash Marketing: Win the Basis Game with Futures and Options
Energy Markets Explode! How Crude Oil and Natural Gas Futures are Effecting Ag Prices (11/13/2018) - Corn and soybean farmers may find recent price action to be relatively choppy but that's not the case over in the energy sector. As a key outside market, it is important for us all to keep aware of what is going on there and how it relates to ag prices.
Watch the 240 Minute Chart Tomorrow | Technical Ag Knowledge (7/18/2018) - Senior Broker and Market Analyst Tom Dosdall provides expert commentary and key levels to look for in soybeans, corn, cattle, and more in Technical Ag Knowledge.
Technical Ag Knowledge: **VIDEO** Chart Analysis for June 12 (6/13/2018) - Tom Dosdall dives into market analysis and commentary for grain futures after the June 2018 WASDE report.
Ag Knowledge: Short Term Exhaustion? (VIDEO Chart Analysis) (4/3/2018) - Senior Broker Tom Dosdall provides market insight and analysis for the day ahead in the corn and soy futures markets.
Ag Knowledge: WASDE Numbers Here! (2/8/2018) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Thursday, February 8, 2018. Today’s report is viewed as friendly corn, neutral wheat, and neutral to mildly bearish soybeans. See below for numbers: U.S. Ending Stocks 2017/18 (in billion bushels) Feb. Est. Trade Avg. Trade Range Jan. USDA Corn 2.352… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: **VIDEO Chart Analysis** for Feb 1 (2/1/2018) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Thursday, February 1, 2018. Let’s look at some charts! Focusing on: Soybean Complex/Corn/Wheat/Wheat Spreads/Cotton/Cattle/Class III Milk/US Dollar As mentioned in Tuesday’s email, short term, a number of the big markets are overbought basis the RSI. Get your levels and know what… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Winter Wheat Awakens (& What it Could Mean for Corn) **Video Analysis** (1/2/2018) - Good afternoon and Happy New Year! Cold weather across the US has woken the winter wheat bulls while hot and dry conditions in Argentina look to return to the headlines again at least for the next 10 days. I don’t know how the weather forecasts will change going forward but I do notice a few… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Are Corn Lows in? **VIDEO Analysis** (12/13/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Wednesday, December 13, 2017. It’s year-end book keeping time for many in the world of agriculture. The big question I have is will it be position squaring time for the some of the large index funds as well? As the Holidays… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Key Resistance Levels! (VIDEO Link Included) (12/5/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Tuesday, December 5, 2017. Reminder: I will be on the road with our team attending Kevin Van Trump’s Winter Conference later this afternoon through Thursday morning. Stop by our booth and say hello if you’ll be there! A number of the… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Soymeal Leads the Way (11/24/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday, Novmeber 24, 2017. Good morning! Traders are talking about how demand for soymeal has been leading the way the last few days so I wanted to get these two charts off to you to be aware of. A close above… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Updated Commitments of Traders (11/17/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday, November 17, 2017. We have a new ALL TIME RECORD net short for funds in corn as of the close this past Tuesday. See below for position details and change from previous week in parentheses. Corn: -230,556 (-24,932) Soybeans: +22,550… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Weak Ruble & Brazil Rains (11/13/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday, November 13, 2017. Good morning – The Russian Ruble is at its weakest against the USD since August, which is expected to help fuel the strong Black Sea wheat export pace again this week. The trend line in Soybeans may… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Post-WASDE VIDEO Analysis (11/9/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Thursday, November 9, 2017. Good afternoon, Charts bend but don’t break on Thursday following bearish data on corn and soybeans from USDA.
Ag Knowledge: Trend Line Bounce for Soybeans **VIDEO Analysis** (11/2/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Thursday November 2, 2017. Nice looking trend line in soybeans and a surge in open interest and volume has our attention today. Call me at 877-566-5463 for help executing your plan.
Ag Knowledge: **Pro Marketing Tip** Commercial Storage vs Futures (10/31/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Tuesday, October 31, 2017. With an abundance of supply out there, I am hearing a lot of talk about substantial drop fees and monthly storage at commercial elevators. Take 2 minutes to review the video below and make sure you aren’t… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: **VIDEO Analysis** for Oct 27 (10/27/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Tuesday October 27, 2017. Highlights from today’s video: US Dollar is trending bullish and above the 100 Day Simple Moving Average for the first time since March – creating a potential headwind for US export markets. Corn & Wheat both tested… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: **VIDEO Analysis** for Oct 17 (10/17/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Tuesday October 17, 2017. Good afternoon and happy harvest days- I’m keeping an eye on the charts while many of you are out harvesting another tremendous US crop (hopefully you can hear today’s video over the whir of the combine). Today’s… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: **VIDEO Analysis** for Oct 6 (10/6/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday October 6, 2017. Good afternoon, Watch the video for end of week commentary and analysis on corn, soybeans, and cotton. Changes in corn open interest are something to keep an eye on, as will be Thursday’s WASDE report. I also… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: **VIDEO Analysis** for Oct 3 (10/3/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Tuesday October 3, 2017. Good morning! I wanted to get thoughts out quickly this AM on soybeans in particular as they look to be sitting on a precarious price level. Also touching on corn, wheat (all flavors), cattle, dairy, and the… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Updated Commitments of Traders (9/22/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday, September 22, 2017. Cattle on Feed Report: On Feed 104% (bearish); Placed 103% (bearish); Marketed 106% (neutral) Funds added to their sizable net short position in corn without taking the market substantially lower. Meanwhile, soybeans have swung to net long.… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: **VIDEO Analysis** for August 10 (8/11/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Thursday, August 10, 2017. Good afternoon,USDA disappoints grain and oilseed bulls earlier today and resets the technical price picture in the process (refer to earlier email for report data). We’re taking a fresh look at the new levels for Corn/Soybeans/Wheat/Cotton/Cattle in… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: WASDE Estimates (8/9/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Wednesday, August 9, 2017. The trade is expecting USDA to announce a drawdown in global and US stocks in tomorrow’s report. The question is ‘by how much’? With funds still holding length in both corn and soybeans I believe producers need… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Aug Fat Cattle Move Below 100 Day SMA (7/27/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Wednesday, July 26, 2017. August Live Cattle are now below the 100 day simple moving average for the first time since November, 2016. This bearish development could be reinforced by the move below the TAS demand level (green dots) at 114.100.… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Updated Commitments of Traders (7/21/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday, July 21, 2017. I was surprised to see the funds still long corn to the tune of +104,670 in this week’s report. This tells us they defended their long position in spite of the price plummet Thursday/Friday last week. Corn… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Brazil Real Bull Run Could be Getting Tired (7/21/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday, July 21, 2017. The stronger Real has been a helpful outside market for US farmers. Keep an eye on how it handles this resistance area…
Ag Knowledge: Major Swing in Updated Commitments of Traders (7/14/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday, July 14, 2017. WOW that was a HUGE one week swing to the long side in both Corn AND Soybeans (as of the close Tuesday, July 11). Net change of +147,679 in one week for corn was the 2nd biggest… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: **VIDEO Analysis** for July 6 (7/6/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Thursday, July 6, 2017. Good morning! Exciting price action on the CBOT the last few sessions as the market digests quarterly stocks, planted acres, and changing crop conditions all at once. We’re taking a closer look at Corn, Soybeans, and the… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Fresh 3-Year Highs in Mpls Wheat (6/28/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Wednesday, June 28, 2017. Good morning! Spring wheat cleared an important technical hurdle during overnight trading and is now at levels not seen in the front month since June, 2014. Technical indicators continue to project extreme overbought conditions so it will… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Fresh 4-Month Lows in Dec Cotton (6/13/2017) - Cotton crop ratings are stellar and USDA currently forecasts the largest crop in 9 years. The Dec chart broke support overnight and is now at fresh 4-month lows.
Technical Ag Knowledge: **VIDEO Analysis** for June 6 (6/6/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Tuesday, June 6, 2017. Good morning! A number of markets have awoken from hibernation and provided the market with price movement recently. In this video we’re analyzing the moves in: Spring Wheat/Soybeans/Corn/Cattle/Hogs/Milk & US Dollar Index. Click the link below to… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge **VIDEO Analysis** for May 22 (5/22/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday, May 22, 2017. Good afternoon! We’re talking about the wedge breakout in Corn in today’s video as well as Soybeans/US Dollar/Stock Market & Crude Oil.
Breaking News: Brazil Real Down 6% on Bribery Allegations Against President (5/18/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Thursday, May 18, 2017. In turn this could trigger a wave of soybean and corn selling among Brazilian farmers as their goods are prices higher in local currency terms. Developing… July Soybeans last trade 9.55 (-21’0) July Corn last trade 3.65… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Keeping an Eye on Brazil’s Currency (5/9/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Tuesday, May 9, 2017. Old crop US soybeans remained in favor this year longer than normal due to farmers in Brazil holding back on selling due to a strong domestic currency. A weaker Brazil currency helps Brazilian producers to attract export… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Corn & Soybeans Retrace to Support (4/18/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Tuesday, April 18, 2017. Friday’s bullish Corn close above the 50 day moving average lacked follow-through this week as weather models show drier forecasts for much of the US corn belt. At the same time, weaker than expected NOPA crush numbers… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Mid-Week Chart Analysis (4/11/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Tuesday, April 11, 2017. July Corn The corn market remains in a mildly bullish chart setup. The price picture improves significantly on a close outside of the wedge and above the 50 day moving average (376’6). Remember, funds are holding a… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: 7 Reasons to Like Corn (4/5/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Wednesday, April 5 2017. Good morning! It’s another gloomy, rainy day here in Chicago so I figured we could all benefit from a little optimism 🙂 Here are seven reasons why I like owning corn (preferably on the Board vs. physical… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Support Breakdown in Soybeans (3/24/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday, March 24, 2017. We’ve been pointing out how soybeans have been the only market of the “big three” grains still holding a hefty net long position by the funds and it looks like that may finally be correcting before next… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Hedging with Technical Analysis 101 (2/24/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday, February 24, 2017. We’re using Milk as an example today but this can just as easily be applied to grain, livestock, or anything else. The important thing is you have a set of technical indicators you trust and you are… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: USDA Ag Forum Projections for 2017 Planted Acres (2/22/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Wednesday, February 22, 2017. Good morning – USDA will give the markets some estimated data to trade beginning tomorrow morning and lasting through Friday at its 2017 “Ag Outlook Forum”. Some estimates below from a Bloomberg survey of analysts and trading… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge (1/23/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday, January 23, 2017. Good afternoon – Newsletter updates will be lighter than normal this week as I will be speaking at a number of farmer conferences in Minnesota about structuring a marketing plan. If you are an Ag Star customer,… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Key Price Levels for Corn, Soybeans, Wheat (1/18/2017) - Argentina weather takes the spotlight on Monday and potentially for the rest of this week. Find updated chart levels for corn, wheat, and soybeans.
Ag Knowledge: Post-WASDE Chart Commentary (Audio/Video) (1/13/2017) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday, January 13, 2017. Good morning- Now that we have final USDA estimates for 2016 production, let’s take a few minutes to review the updated charts for corn, soybeans, and wheat. Corn Soybeans Wheat
Ag Knowledge: End of Year Wrap-Up (12/30/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday, December 30, 2016. Happy last day of trading, 2016! Here are some levels to watch as we turn the page and look ahead to the New Year. March Corn The last three months, this market has been a “buy” at… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: 4-Month Bull Trend Line Breaks in Nov ’17 Soybeans (12/20/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Tuesday, December 20, 2016. Important technical break to be aware of for November 2017 Soybeans (see below). Soybean producers: now might be a good time to make sure your 2017 marketing plan is in line with objectives for this time of… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for Dec 5-9 (12/5/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday, December 5, 2016. Good morning – *Note, Daniels Ag Marketing will be one of the featured sponsors at Kevin Van Trump’s Winter Conference this week in Kansas City. Due to this, I will be unable to send chart updates on… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: March Corn Trend Line Support; Center of 4 1/2 month range (11/30/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Wednesday, November 30, 2016. Corn producers and/or traders: Take note of these four technical notes on the March chart. In my opinion, producers with bushels in storage should take note of bullet point 4 and consider talking to us about market… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Demand for Soybean Oil Surges (11/23/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Wednesday, November 23, 2016. In case there was any doubt about what is driving soybeans, check out chart below for Dec Soybean Oil. Short term demand from China as a substitute for palm oil remains extremely strong. March spreads remain steady… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Triple Top in Jan Soybeans; 2 Year Highs in Nov ’17 (11/22/2016) - Producers who still have 2016 soybean bushels ought to consider contacting us to work on a strategy here.
Ag Knowledge: Updated Commitment of Traders Numbers (11/18/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday, November 18, 2016. Please see below for updated net managed money position as of the close on Tuesday, Nov 15. Net change from the previous week is in (parentheses). Notable in this report was the big shift back to net… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Corn/Wheat Spread Hits Trend Line Support (11/17/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Thursday, November 17, 2016. Good morning – Historically the corn/wheat spread is closer to $1.00. Do we find trend line support here? In other news, export sales were out this morning: Corn: 1.66 MMT 2016/17 (trade was expecting between 900,000 and… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: US Dollar Index on the Verge of 14-Year Highs (11/16/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Wednesday, November 16, 2016. There should be BIG interest in where the US Dollar goes from here for anyone with commodity price risk exposure. The chart below shows how the measure of the Dollar vs. a basket of other major currencies… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge (11/14/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday, November 14, 2016. The Commitment of Traders data was delayed to today due to the Veterans Day Holiday on Friday. Please see below for updated net managed money position as of the close on Tuesday, Nov 8. Net change from… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for Oct 25-28 (10/25/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Tuesday, October 25, 2016. Ag Markets Dec Corn Nov Soybeans Dec Wheat Dec Live Cattle Dec Lean Hogs Outside Markets Dec US Dollar Nov Crude Oil
Technical Ag Knowledge: Updated Commitment of Traders (10/21/2016) - CFTC released updated COT numbers a short while ago and we a HUGE jump in the reduction of net shorts in Corn and to a lesser but still impressive degree SRW Wheat.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Estimates for Tomorrow’s WASDE Report (10/11/2016) - Estimates for Tomorrow's WASDE Report (11:00AM CST)
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for Oct 10-14 (10/10/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday, October 10, 2016. Ag Markets Dec Corn Nov Soybeans Dec Wheat Dec Live Cattle Dec Lean Hogs Outside Markets Dec US Dollar Nov Crude Oil
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for Oct 3-7 (10/3/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday October 03, 2016. Ag Markets Dec Corn (COT Spec Funds: -177,733) Nov Soybeans (COT Spec Funds: +54,612) Dec Wheat (COT Spec Funds: -134,573) Dec Live Cattle Dec Lean Hogs Outside Markets Dec US Dollar Nov Crude Oil
Technical Ag Knowledge: Estimates for Tomorrow’s Quarterly Stocks Report (9/29/2016) - Estimates for Quarterly U.S. Grain Stocks & U.S. Wheat Production
Technical Ag Knowledge: Soybeans Trade Fresh 5 1/2 Month Lows (9/27/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Tuesday September 27, 2016. Please click the chart image for audio analysis. Nov Soybeans
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for Sept 26-30 (9/26/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday September 26, 2016. Ag Markets Dec Corn Nov Soybeans Dec Wheat Live Cattle Lean Hogs Outside Markets Dec US Dollar Nov Crude Oil
Technical Ag Knowledge: USD Levels Ahead of FOMC Annoucement (9/21/2016) - Bank of Japan came out overnight and essentially committed to extending easy money policy indefinitely (or until inflation exceeds 2%).
Technical Ag Knowledge: Updated Commitment of Traders (9/19/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday September 19, 2016. CBOT Corn: -151,547 (+34,580) CBOT Soybeans: +72,886 (-4,661) CBOT Wheat: -129,643 (+7,808)
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for Sept 19-23 (9/19/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday September 19, 2016. Markets are moving! Make sure you stay aware of the key technical levels in the markets that affect you and call your Daniels advisor if you need to update any of your positions. Ag Markets Dec ’16… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Dec Corn Support @ 328’4 (9/14/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Wednesday September 14, 2016. December Corn
Dosdall Daily Edge – Bull Spread in Natural Gas (New) (9/8/2016) - Natural Gas Bull Spread trade idea exclusively from Dosdall Daily Edge.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Soybean Bounce Nears Resistance Level (9/7/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Wednesday, September 7th, 2016. Nov Soybeans
Dosdall Daily Edge – Sugar Exit (Friday) (9/6/2016) - Sugar trade update exclusively from Dosdall Daily Edge.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for Sept 6-9 (9/6/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Tuesday, Septermber 6th, 2016. Ag Markets Dec ’16 Corn Corn bulls find hope in seeing that managed money is net short 174,489 futures contracts as of last week’s CFTC Commitment of Traders report. Our technical levels show that short term… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: “Death Cross” Appears in Nov Soybeans (8/30/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Tuesday August 30, 2016. What is a ‘Death Cross‘? This technical term is used when a long term moving average crosses above a shorter term moving average. The name refers to the association with a downward market trend and indicates a… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Fed Comments & US Dollar (8/26/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday August 26, 2016. “In light of the continued solid performance of the labor market and our outlook for economic activity and inflation, I believe the case for an increase in the federal funds rate has strengthened in recent months.” –… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: 11-Month Trend Line in Wheat (8/25/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Thursday August 25, 2016. Dec ’16 Wheat
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for Aug 22-26 (8/22/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday August 22, 2016. **Commitment of Traders (futures only as of Aug 16) CORN -165,109 (-23,614 since Aug 9); SOYBEANS +88,510 (-10,915) SRW WHEAT -106,956 (+13,356)** Ag Markets Dec ’16 Corn Corn gained 10’4 last week despite the bearish Aug 12… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: 5 Month Bull Trend Line in Cotton (8/19/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday August 19, 2016. Dec ’16 Cotton
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for Aug 15-19 (8/15/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday August 15, 2016. **Commitment of Traders (futures only as of Aug 9) CORN -141,495(-34,727 since Aug 2); SOYBEANS +99,425 (+2,404) SRW WHEAT -120,312 (+10,159)** Ag Markets Dec ’16 Corn Corn may have carved out a significant low following Friday’s bearish… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Expectations for Tomorrow’s USDA Report (8/11/2016) - USDA will release its first farmer based survey of the year tomorrow morning at 11:00AM CST
Technical Ag Knowledge: Very Tight Range in Corn; Dollar Weakness Supportive (8/10/2016) - Let's look back at price action in corn since July 20 and acknowledge the tight range and key technical levels heading into Friday's USDA report.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for Aug 1-5 (8/1/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday August 01, 2016. **Commitment of Traders (futures only as of July 26) CORN -67,571; SOYBEANS +109,696; SRW WHEAT -131,142** Ag Markets Dec ’16 Corn The bear trend could be getting exhausted as a good base of support is now established… Read more.
Ag Knowledge: Cotton Cliffhanger (7/29/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday July 29, 2016. Dec ’16 Cotton: Daily Dec ’16 Cotton: 240 Min.
Technical Ag Knowledge: November Soybeans (7/27/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Wednesday July 27, 2016. November Soybeans
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for July 25-29 (7/25/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday July 25, 2016. **Commitment of Traders (futures only as of July 19) CORN -29,758; SOYBEANS +113,276; SRW WHEAT -121,448** Ag Markets Dec ’16 Corn As long as Dec Corn stays below 3.52 the trend is down, however Friday’s strong rally… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Corn & Soybean Support Levels (7/22/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday July 22, 2016. CBOT Corn Continuous Front Month CBOT Nov Soybeans
Technical Ag Knowledge: US Dollar Strength (7/20/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Wednesday July 20, 2016. Lots of attention and focus on US weather right now and rightly so, but let’s not forget outside markets are still important too! OurTAS Market Profile indicators have been bullish ever since the Brexit vote (94.393) while… Read more.
Dosdall Daily Edge – Dec Corn: New Trade (7/19/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s email newsletter, Dosdall Daily Edge, published on Tuesday, July 19, 2016. After posting a pivot reversal, I count six times in the past year where the Dec Corn market has been able to trade back to its 50 day moving average within a month*. Do we have… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Wheat Chart Patterns & Value Buy Areas (7/15/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Friday July 15, 2016. Sept CBOT SRW Wheat
Technical Ag Knowledge: Bear Trend Taking Shape in August Crude Oil (7/13/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Wednesday July 13, 2016. Aug Crude Oil
Technical Ag Knowledge: Crop Progress & WASDE Estimates (7/12/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday July 11, 2016. Top soil moisture adequate/surplus +4% to 71% Corn +1 G/E 76% Soybeans +1% G/E 71% Winter Wheat 66% harvested Cotton -2% G/E 54% Remember, monthly USDA Supply/Demand (WASDE) tomorrow at 11AM CST. Estimates below: U.S. Production 2016/17… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for July 11-15 (7/11/2016) - Soybeans have some significant overhead resistance levels to contend with early this week.
Technical Ag Knowledge: New Crop Soybeans Close $0.35^4 off Intraday Lows (7/6/2016) - New crop soybeans are finding good support on the breaks...
Dosdall Daily Edge – Sept Cocoa: Exit (6/30/2016) - September Cocoa trade update exclusively from Dosdall Daily Edge.
Dosdall Daily Edge – December Cotton: New Trade (6/29/2016) - December Cotton trade idea exclusively from Dosdall Daily Edge.
Dosdall Daily Edge – September Wheat: New Trade (6/22/2016) - September Wheat trade idea exclusively from Dosdall Daily Edge.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for June 20-24 (6/20/2016) - Corn struggles to break strongly through last summer's highs ($4.46^6), although it has been catching buying support on declines toward the $4.35 area.
Dosdall Daily Edge – Sept US Dollar: New Trade (6/16/2016) - US Dollar trade idea exclusively from Dosdall Daily Edge.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for June 13-17 (6/13/2016) - Corn is again knocking on the door of summer 2015 resistance this morning and will need a boost from the bulls to push through and target the next level at 4.68^2.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Lean Hog Trend Line Resistance & Double Top (6/8/2016) - Hog producers, take note! From a technical perspective...
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for June 6-10 (6/6/2016) - Overnight trading carried the market through resistance and into fresh 14 month highs. Buying momentum has picked up a measure of strength despite Friday's Commitment of Traders report which showed managed money net long 130,798 contracts.
Dosdall Daily Edge – Corn Exit (5/31/2016) - A shortage of quality Soymeal in the nearby months was driving the feed grain story last week.
Technical Ag Knowledge (5/23/2016) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday May 23, 2016. **Crop progress numbers will be released today @ 3PM (CST).** Ag Markets Jul ’16 Corn Corn is starting to look a little tired here at the top of the range and may need some fresh fundamental news… Read more.
Technical Ag Knowledge: S&P Support and What it Means for Commodities (5/18/2016) - If the S&P takes out the 2030.00 level the chart picture opens up quite a bit to the downside.
Dosdall Daily Edge – Nov vs Jul Soybean Spread (5/16/2016) - With Friday's commitment of Traders showing soybeans with a heavy net long position, and support starting to break on the Nov/July spread, I'd like to attempt to catch a ride back toward -0.05, where we spent the better part of six months recently.
Dosdall Daily Edge – July Cotton Update (5/10/2016) - Cotton continues to push lower, helped along today by a bearish USDA forecast on supply/demand for the year ahead.
Dosdall Daily Edge – June US Dollar Update (5/4/2016) - Yesterday's "bullish hammer' candlestick is a positive formation for the bulls to take another crack at bat here.
Dosdall Daily Edge – July Cotton Update (5/4/2016) - The cotton market has started to curl over the past couple of sessions as we have entered into a bearish old crop vs. new crop seasonal window.
Technical Ag Knowledge: Outlook for August 17-21 (8/17/2015) - Markets are moving! Make sure you stay aware of the key technical levels in the markets that affect you.
Dosdall Daily Edge – Cotton: New Trade (8/4/2014) - There is a lot of cotton on the global market right now.
About the Dosdall Daily Edge! (6/23/2014) - Learn more about the Dosdall Daily Edge! Tom Dosdall explains how he started his market commentary newsletter, what you receive as a subscriber and how it can potentially benefit you as a trader!
Dosdall Daily Edge – Cocoa Week: New Trade (4/15/2014) - Cocoa traders were disappointed with last week's European grinding numbers, and the market appears technically overbought.
Dosdall Daily Edge – New Trade in Oct Sugar (SBV3 20 MIN) (9/13/2013) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s email newsletter, Dosdall Daily Edge. Update 9/17/2013 11:36:18 AM Magenta bars on TAS Navigator communicate that this recent decline may soon be reversing. Traders should consider moving protective buy stops down to 1680 or exiting completely at this time. Entries at 1708 are holding a gain of… Read more.
Update on August Gold (GCQ3 20 MIN) (7/10/2013) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s email newsletter, Dosdall Daily Edge, published on Tuesday, July 09 This is an update to a previous trading recommendation here: New Trade in August Gold (GCQ3 20 MIN) Short entries should have been filled around mid-day but the market never fully got down into that “open highway”… Read more.
New Trade in August Gold (GCQ3 20 MIN) (7/9/2013) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s email newsletter, Dosdall Daily Edge, published on Tuesday, July 09 August Gold might be getting ready to take another little breather from the recent rally and TAS Tools suggest a possible opportunity if recent lows are taken out (20 minute chart). I like having a resting order… Read more.
New Trade in May Crude Oil (CLK3 DAILY) (3/28/2013) - Dosdall Daily Edge is an email newsletter published by Senior Futures & Options Broker, Tom Dosdall. The service delivers a clear picture of markets that are setting up for possible trade opportunities based on his unique “3 Star Setup”. Tom’s broker-assisted clients work with him one-on-one to identify and trade markets that are in line… Read more.
Update on March Euro (6EH3 DAILY) (2/27/2013) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s email newsletter, Dosdall Daily Edge, published on February 26, 2013. This is an update to a previous trading recommendation here: New Trade in March Euro (6EH3 DAILY) The Euro currency is still looking bearish from both a technical and fundamental perspective. Consider moving protective stops down to… Read more.
New Trade in March Euro (6EH3 DAILY) (2/22/2013) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s email newsletter, Dosdall Daily Edge, published on February 21, 2013. Yesterday’s FOMC meeting minutes showed that the board is split on the potential for continuous “easy money” policies going forward. This news launched the US Dollar toward a fresh five month high. Couple the FOMC news with… Read more.
New Trade in March 30-Yr. T-Bond (ZBH3 60 MIN) (2/14/2013) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s email newsletter, Dosdall Daily Edge, published on February 14, 2013. Bonds have taken a beating dating back all the way to Thanksgiving. Many of our fundamental analysts argue that the market is still in an overall downtrend but I argue that there are corrective moves in the… Read more.
Developing Trade in March Canadian Dollar (6CH3 DAILY) (12/12/2012) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s email newsletter, Dosdall Daily Edge, published on December 12, 2012. The Canadian is attempting to grind higher again today and our TAS Tools are confirming a bullish trade opportunity. The market is expecting a friendly announcement toward further QE at today’s (US) FOMC meeting which would likely… Read more.
Developing Trade in E-Mini S&P 500 (ESZ2 DAILY) (10/23/2012) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s email newsletter, Dosdall Daily Edge, published on October 23, 2012. Those who have been waiting for the right time to hedge their equities positions with put options or short futures may have their opportunity today. As you can see on the chart below, TAS Navigator has been… Read more.
Developing Trade in December Cocoa (CCZ2) (8/30/2012) - This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s email newsletter, Dosdall Daily Edge, published on August 30, 2012. I expect to see the stock market open lower this morning. This might put some downward pressure on the Cocoa market, which has made fresh 9-month highs the last two trading sessions. For those reasons, and the… Read more.
Proof that You Know More about Commodity Futures than You Think (7/2/2011) - Depending on who you are talking to, the term “commodity futures” always seems to generate a range of strong opinions. Sometimes it is met with fear: “I have an interest but I’m not comfortable with the risk and reward aspects”. At other times the term triggers optimism: “My buddy made a fortune trading commodities and… Read more.
5 Steps to Help You Get Started Trading Futures (8/11/2010) - You already recognize the potential benefits of being invested in alternative assets but you need some guidance before you feel comfortable enough to put your money on the line. Follow these five steps to get on the right track.
Webinars by Tom
iSystems: Evolving Tools for Evolving Traders (1/11/2016) - Get an introduction to iSystems with Senior Futures and Options Broker Tom Dosdall.
TAS Tuesday – Futures Market Analysis with TAS Indicators (11/3/2014) - Daniels Trading invites you to attend the next “TAS Tuesday” LIVE event this Tuesday at 1pm CST. Learn how to recognize potential buy and sell opportunities using TAS trading indicators.
The Broker’s Edge: How to Use TAS Tools (7/15/2013) - TAS Tools is quickly gaining popularity around the world as an important chart trading method for futures traders to dynamically change their performance.
How to Use TAS Tools (12/5/2012) - Tom Dosdall, a licensed expert, presents How to Use TAS Tools - a quick start tutorial for this critical trading approach.
The Broker’s Edge: How TAS Tools Can Help Your Trading (10/3/2012) - Don’t miss this webinar featuring Tom Dosdall, Senior Futures & Options Broker, as he explains how TAS (Trade Angle Strategies) Tools give him an edge as a broker. This webinar will review the following: Detailed explanation of TAS Tools Three easy-to-understand indicators How to use TAS Tools to identify trade opportunities LIVE market examples TAS… Read more.
The Broker’s Edge: How TAS Tools Can Help Your Trading (9/4/2012) - Don’t miss this webinar featuring Tom Dosdall, Senior Futures & Options Broker, as he explains how TAS (Trade Angle Strategies) Tools give him an edge as a broker. This webinar will review the following: Detailed explanation of TAS Tools Three easy-to-understand indicators How to use TAS Tools to identify trade opportunities LIVE market examples TAS… Read more.
The Broker’s Edge: How TAS Tools Can Help Your Trading (8/8/2012) - Don’t miss this webinar featuring Tom Dosdall, Senior Futures & Options Broker, as he explains how TAS (Trade Angle Strategies) Tools give him an edge as a broker. This webinar will review the following: Detailed explanation of TAS Tools Three easy-to-understand indicators How to use TAS Tools to identify trade opportunities LIVE market examples TAS… Read more.
DT Pro: New and Improved “All in One” Layout for Futures and Options Trading (6/21/2012) - We are proud to introduce a new and improved layout for all of your futures and options trading on DT Pro, Daniels Trading's top ranked trading platform year after year.
dt Pro 101 – Get Started with Our Flagship Trading Platform (Apr 19 2010) (4/12/2010) - dt Pro provides everything you need to trade with speed, transparency and powerful indicators.
“Why I Chose DT” Responses from Tom’s Clients
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