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Crude Oil
Seasonality: The Impact on the Energy Markets
Seasonality refers to the fluctuations in the value of an asset in relation to the time of year. Although predicting the effect of its impact isn’t an exact science, seasonality is a futures market phenomenon that traders and investors should take into account. Energy is one asset class where the impact of seasonality merits extra… Read more.
Uncertainty in Chinese Trade Negotiations Leaves Buying Possibilities Open in Hogs, Corn, and More
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Will Washington Gridlock Signal Deflation? Commodity Demand and Global Fundamentals Send Mixed Signals
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WTI Crude Oil Futures Outlook: Winter 2018/19
This has been a big year for crude oil. Fueled by evolving international trade, economic expansion, and disruptions to the supply chain, the pricing of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures in 2018 have extended an uptrend that began in 2016. Given the prevailing geopolitical and economic factors, the oil futures outlook for winter 2018/19 is… Read more.
Understanding Oil Futures Leverage
A common saying in financial markets asserts that leverage is the quintessential double-edged sword. That axiom may never be more relevant than it is in futures trading, specifically the crude oil markets. Led by the industry benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and North Sea Brent (Brent) contracts, crude oil futures are some of the most frequently… Read more.
What Does the Jobs Report Mean for the Dollar, the Fed, and Oversold Commodities?
Depending on who you talk to, the most recent US jobs report was either disappointing or very impressive. Clearly the widely-followed headline gain was very disappointing against expectations, but the massive upward revision in the previous month’s payrolls, a bigger than expected drop in the unemployment rate, a huge…
Will Trade Tensions Bring Gains in US Treasuries or Negative Impact on Commodities?
The number of global geopolitical/economic flashpoints has expanded dramatically, and the potential for a major risk-off event is growing. Given that US/China trade tensions are escalating and given China’s outsized impact on physical commodities, the threat against…
Growing Potential for Major Risk-Off Event, Gasoline Prices Most Vulnerable
The number of global geopolitical/economic flashpoints has expanded dramatically, and the potential for a major risk-off event is growing. Given that US/China trade tensions are escalating and given China’s outsized impact on physical commodities, the threat against…
Is China Losing Ground in Trade Battle? Pressure Is on US Despite Positivity in US Economy
The US economy has remained on a positive jobs track and Chinese stocks have remained under pressure, and that could be suggesting that China is losing ground in the trade battle. However, dialogue in the US…