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US row crop markets are mixed this morning, while crude oil makes a new 9 month low. December corn and January soybeans remain in their tight ranges at 370 and 888, while cotton markets bleed lower as FND approaches for December futures at 76.66, up slightly.
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This has been a big year for crude oil. Fueled by evolving international trade, economic expansion, and disruptions to the supply chain, the pricing of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) futures in 2018 have extended an uptrend that began in 2016. Given the prevailing geopolitical and economic factors, the oil futures outlook for winter 2018/19 is… Read more.
A common saying in financial markets asserts that leverage is the quintessential double-edged sword. That axiom may never be more relevant than it is in futures trading, specifically the crude oil markets. Led by the industry benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) and North Sea Brent (Brent) contracts, crude oil futures are some of the most frequently… Read more.
Depending on who you talk to, the most recent US jobs report was either disappointing or very impressive. Clearly the widely-followed headline gain was very disappointing against expectations, but the massive upward revision in the previous month’s payrolls, a bigger than expected drop in the unemployment rate, a huge…
The number of global geopolitical/economic flashpoints has expanded dramatically, and the potential for a major risk-off event is growing. Given that US/China trade tensions are escalating and given China’s outsized impact on physical commodities, the threat against…
The number of global geopolitical/economic flashpoints has expanded dramatically, and the potential for a major risk-off event is growing. Given that US/China trade tensions are escalating and given China’s outsized impact on physical commodities, the threat against…
The US economy has remained on a positive jobs track and Chinese stocks have remained under pressure, and that could be suggesting that China is losing ground in the trade battle. However, dialogue in the US…
Given the lack of a significant negative reaction in global equity markets to the latest salvos in the US/Chinese trade battle and “goldilocks” US non-farm payroll news, it is possible that the ultimate impact of the trade problems…
We would suggest that risk on/risk off big picture macroeconomic volatility in commodities is set to reach a crescendo despite the holiday-shortened trading week in the US. Our view is that the looming July 6th tariff implementation deadline will…