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Home / Turner's Take

Turner's Take

Turner’s Take

Turner’s Take | Fed To Buy Corporate Bonds

June 15, 2020 by Craig Turner

The Federal Reserve is ready to buy corporate bonds to help stimulate the economy and provide liquidity to US markets

Turner’s Take

Turner’s Take | Jan vs March Soybeans

May 7, 2020 by Craig Turner

Jan 21 soybeans are trading 16 cents inverse to March 21! This implies the market is concerned about tight US new crops soybean stocks

Turner’s Take

Turner’s Take | How We Are Playing Corn This Week

April 27, 2020 by Craig Turner

We are staying short old crop corn until FND. At that point we will look to get long July while still keeping on new crop hedges and sales

Turner’s Take

Turner’s Take | Stocks Higher on Positive COVID-19 Treatment News

April 17, 2020 by Craig Turner

Stocks are higher due to positive developments in COVID-19 treatments and the President’s plan to reopen the economy

Turner’s Take

Turner’s Take | WASDE Hikes Grain & Oilseed Stocks

April 9, 2020 by Craig Turner

The April WASDE was bearish against expectations but the market had been looking for higher grain and oilseed stocks across the board.  Looks a lot like “sell the rumor, buy the fact” to me.

Turner’s Take

Turner’s Take | Ethanol and Corn

March 27, 2020 by Craig Turner

Farm Policy (Univ of IL) is estimating ethanol production will be down about 750mm gallons for March, April, and May.  That is about 250mm bushel of corn lost from decreases in ethanol demand. There will probably be more demand lost in June/July/Aug to round out the marketing year.  Right now we could be looking at 350mm to 400mm bushels of lost demand for 2019-2020 corn.  The big concern is those bushels go right back into the ending stocks on the balance sheet.  

Turner’s Take

Turner’s Take | Fed Pledges Asset Repurchases with No Limit

March 23, 2020 by Craig Turner

The US Federal Reserve has pledged to buy assets with no limits. This is similar to the Fed support during the subprime crisis

Turner’s Take

Turner’s Take | Latest Phase One Trade Agreement Details

December 13, 2019 by Craig Turner

The US and China have come to an agreement in principal over Phase One of the trade deal. The US and China are expected to sign in early January

Turner’s Take

Turner’s Take | Dec 2019 WASDE As Expected

December 10, 2019 by Craig Turner

The markets are higher today as more snow is forecast in the central US and that will further delay corn harvest.  Farmer sales also tend to slow down during the week of Thanksgiving and that can be supportive too.  Andy Daniels, the founder of Daniels Trading, has an opinion about rice today

Turner’s Take

Turner’s Take | Corn, Rice, and Sugar

December 5, 2019 by Craig Turner

The markets are higher today as more snow is forecast in the central US and that will further delay corn harvest.  Farmer sales also tend to slow down during the week of Thanksgiving and that can be supportive too.  Andy Daniels, the founder of Daniels Trading, has an opinion about rice today

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