PODCAST | The USDA released their April WASDE yesterday and we dive right in during the podcast. We think the biggest takeaway was what the USDA had to say about 2018/19 new crop corn exports. The Ag Forum had 2019/19 corn exports at 1.9 billion bushels. I think we could see 2.1 to 2.2 billion in… Read more.
While the trade rift between the US and China could eventually be settled peacefully, it could be very difficult to avoid further escalation in the coming week. As of last Friday, it appeared as though the trade war threats were extended beyond the governmental level and to the populace in China, with calls to “buy Chinese” and boycott US products. China also threatened to increase…
Good morning friends US row crop markets are higher across the board as I walk to work with 2 inches of snow on the ground here in Chicago, two weeks into the month of April. Corn and soybean prices have erased all of the selling that had taken place starting at 3 am on Wednesday… Read more.
I have thoughts on Corn!!!
Click the chart below to view the 3 minute video…
Senior Broker Tom Dosdall provides market insight and analysis for the day ahead in the corn and soy futures markets.
With US scheduled data into the end of March/end of quarter coming in positive and the trade facing the March nonfarm payroll report at the end of this week, it is possible that US economic expectations will be improved and markets like Treasuries, equities, copper, silver, platinum and palladium will resume the trends in place from the end of February. However, physical commodities…
Following turbulent trading last Wednesday and Thursday, global markets were showing some signs of stability ahead of the weekend. While the announcement of US tariffs on Chinese goods have led to a flare-up of trade friction and dampened risk appetites, there is some potential for tensions to cool down, as businesses will have a chance to discuss many of the tariffs with the US government before they go into effect.
It would appear that US scheduled economic data has returned to a choppy standing, but recent Asian data has clearly surprised on the upside. Chinese retail sales figures nearly returned to double digit percentage gains over year-ago levels, and those optimistic results were matched by strong data from Japan. Unfortunately for many physical commodities, the dollar has seemingly regained some favor, and “buy the rumor” action into the upcoming FOMC meeting might see that action extended.
Good afternoon friends! We had a bevy of reports today, starting with CONAB this morning which was neutral for soybeans (113 MMT beans/87.5 MMT corn) and bullish for corn. We then had USDA exports that were fantastic with a capital ‘F’ for corn, beans and cotton. Followed by maybe one of the most bullish USDA… Read more.
While the fear of a series of 2018 rate hikes has provided commodities with a double negative from a rising rates/strengthening dollar perspective, we think the path to higher rates won’t be as direct as what was priced into the market in late February. First of all, we think the excess stock market volatility from the beginning of February will serve to soften the February scheduled release data (the first of which will be the employment report on March 9th), and that could temporarily pull back the anticipated number of rate hikes.