While the fear of a series of 2018 rate hikes has provided commodities with a double negative from a rising rates/strengthening dollar perspective, we think the path to higher rates won’t be as direct as what was priced into the market in late February. First of all, we think the excess stock market volatility from the beginning of February will serve to soften the February scheduled release data (the first of which will be the employment report on March 9th), and that could temporarily pull back the anticipated number of rate hikes.