Export sales were above the average estimates and towards the top of the ranges. US corn is well priced at these levels as are soybeans. Corn is competitive with the Black Sea and South America will be out of the export game for the next few months. US Soybeans are now about 30 cents under Brazil for December and 10 under for January. Support for Jan Soybean is $9.00 and then $8.90. A break below $8.90 could cause the funds to go from net long to net short. I personally don’t see the funds getting net short unless the Phase One trade deal completely falls apart.
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In this week’s episode we go over the recent developments in the US-China trade negotiations and how it is effecting equities, grains, oilseeds, and livestock. We also talk about sugar at the end and why we like it from the long side in 2020. Make sure you take a listen to this week’s Turner’s Take podcast!
Fund short covering in HRW wheat is leading the CBOT higher. Crop Progress is further behind than expected in corn and soybeans
The USDA made small changes to the corn and soybeans supply and demand tables. Corn yields came down to 167.0 from 168.4. Bulls were hoping form more than a 1.4 bpa decrease.
US-China Trade Deal Signing Could Be Delayed Until December
Corn and Soybeans continue to grind lower. The market on the CBOT with the most potential seems to be rice. Rice is too small a market to give advice about in a podcast or newsletter. Call 800-958-9470 for more details
The CBOT lacks direction as the bulls argue lower production and potential Chinese demand. The bears point to lower exports & high US prices
CBOT markets chopped in range today on low volume. Pork exports were the highest of the marketing year. With China’s need for pork and a potential Phase One trade deal on the horizon, this could be just the start for strong pork export demand
Corn and soybean basis continues to get stronger as the production estimates get smaller. Add in potential Chinese demand and the CBOT could make the next leg higher
A bullish quarterly stocks reports has shifted possible prices ranges for corn and soybeans materially higher. New Crop Corn could have a carryout sub 2 billion with the potential to go lower due to lower yields this year. Soybeans could be sub 500, which seemed impossible six months ago.