Recent talk of fresh easing from the BOJ and BOE seems to have been largely discounted as ineffective, and that has prompted a revival of safe haven interest in gold and US Treasuries.
US Dollar
US Economy Continues On a Slow, Upward Slope of Recovery
The markets have now “reflated” and have partially corrected!
Technical Ag Knowledge
This is a sample entry from Tom Dosdall’s newsletter, Technical Ag Knowledge, published on Monday May 23, 2016. **Crop progress numbers will be released today @ 3PM (CST).** Ag Markets Jul ’16 Corn Corn is starting to look a little tired here at the top of the range and may need some fresh fundamental news… Read more.
Increased Odds of Growth in the US and Abroad
Just when it appeared that the commodity markets were overbought and poised to correct, the US Fed was found to be on-hold “to at least June.”
Growth in the Rest of the World Showing Signs of Improvement
Just when it appeared that commodities were settling back on a deflationary track, leadership surfaced in fresh buying interest in gold, silver, platinum, soybeans, corn and crude oil.
Global Markets May Have a Brighter Outlook
An improvement in US and European manufacturing activity as well as news that the “official” Chinese PMI number climbed back into expansion territory for the first time in 8 months bodes well for a more sustainable global recovery effort.
Commodity Markets Seeing Bearish Factors
Commodity markets are seeing nearly a perfect storm of bearish factors during the first 2 weeks of 2016.
New Year, Return to Recession?
As 2016 begins, the commodity bears are getting close to a “perfect storm” from all directions.
Additional Commodity Pressure in Anticipation of an Interest Rate Hike
In looking ahead to the coming week, we expect additional commodity pressure going into the FOMC meeting off of a stronger dollar in anticipation of an interest rate hike.
Suspect a Bottoming in the World Economy
Economic prospects have improved over the last two weeks, as crude oil prices have shown signs of declining further, the Fed have minimally downplayed the prospect of a near-term rate hike, and perhaps most importantly, the ECB did “something” to help facilitate growth in the euro zone.
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