Last week we suggested that the “long dark shadow” of deflation was starting to fade, and given the impressive rally off the February low through the end of the month, we would suggest that sentiment was overly negative going into the 2016 equity market lows, as the global swoon was mostly about disappointing forward momentum and not some major, difficult-to-solve obstacle.
Looking at the action in stocks last week, we might develop some concern for the pace of the US recovery, especially in the wake of a soft December Non-Farm Payroll result, sub-par sales guidance from a couple of bellwether US companies and from fears that the Fed might continue to taper even in the face of uneven US data.
All eyes are on the debt market these days. Volatility in the debt market is forcing investors and traders to shift their assets as the global markets spin out of control. News of Greece defaulting on its bonds, the US raising its debt ceiling, and economic activity in the Far East have traders and investors… Read more.