Treasury bond futures had a breakout setup for Friday, which was logical given the May employment report was released this morning. This setup, combined with the market’s proximity to its contact high, made this a good market to trade this morning. In last night’s edition of Swing Trader’s Insight I labeled T bonds as a… Read more.
Swing Trader’s Insight
The soybean futures had a breakout setup for Tuesday as Friday was an inside day with significant range contraction (Friday’s range was 31% of Thursday). These patterns gave us a heads up to look for a directional move (opens at one end of the range, closes on the other) and potentially a large trading range expansion.
The Taylor Trading Technique seeks to identify where short term trend changes are likely to occur. In last night’s Swing Trader’s Insight the eMini S&P was labeled a Sell Short day, meaning today we were looking for a cyclical downturn.
In last night’s Swing Trader’s Insight I labeled the EMini S&P futures as a Taylor Trading Technique Sell short day. As long time readers know, I suggest we trade the stock index futures during the stock market hours (beginning at 8:30 AM CT) and that we can use overnight highs and lows in lieu of the previous day high and low that the TTT normally uses for the reference price.
The recent down trend in stock index futures made Taylor Trading Technique signals less obvious. Sticking to a more mechanical cycle count can facilitate trading in these markets.
Monday’s stock market selloff gave a Taylor Trading Technique Buy day setup for the eMini NASDAQ futures. Today’s action was a textbook TTT Buy day rally.
Overnight trading can give you additional patterns for trade setups during the regular trading day, especially for markets like the stock index futures.
Of the three days in the Taylor Trading Technique cycle, I often don’t look to trade markets that are on the Sell day, as Sell days don’t have the clear directional bias of a Buy or a Sell Short day. However, there are some setups that can yield good trades on Sell days.
Doji bars are one of the single most useful single bar patterns that any trader can identify. They can be used for entries, exits, or to determine position bias. “Doji” is a term used by Japanese candlestick chartists that refer to a bar where the open and close of a bar are in close approximation to each other.
In my opinion, George Douglas Taylor was one of the greatest trading thinkers, and luckily he left behind one book on trading: The Taylor Trading Technique. This book lays out his “Taylor Book Method” for swing trading in futures.