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Home / Small Exchange

Small Exchange

How Does Inflation Affect Markets?

How Does Inflation Affect Markets?

July 20, 2022 by Frank Kaberna

The highest inflation measure in more than 40 years has left many markets in utter disarray: Nasdaq is at its lowest since 2020, interest rates are their highest since 2007, and the US dollar is the strongest it’s been since the early aughts

The End of an Era for the Euro

The End of an Era for the Euro

July 12, 2022 by Frank Kaberna

If you started trading in the last two decades, you’ve only known a world in which the euro is worth more than the US dollar. You’d have to go all the way back to 2002 to find data points representing the EUR/USD conversion rate that start with a zero to the left of the decimal point.

Probabilities are Accurate Until They Aren’t

Probabilities are Accurate Until They Aren’t

July 1, 2022 by Frank Kaberna

What do all the probabilities in your life have in common? They’re all dynamic – constantly changing. At the conclusion of the event a binary 0% or 100% is realized, but the journey to that ending can witness wild swings in either direction….

How the Fed Affects Interest Rates

How the Fed Affects Interest Rates

June 23, 2022 by Frank Kaberna

If the Fed is one of the most influential voices in interest rate pricing, then how can interest rate markets move lower on the actual day that the Fed hiked rates? Futures and options have a time component that requires traders to think steps ahead, and you can see by the price action in S2Y futures leading up to the actual event that this hike had been…

Neutral Trading Strategies for an Inactive Market

Neutral Trading Strategies for an Inactive Market

June 14, 2022 by Frank Kaberna

What do you do when the dust settles, the smoke clears, and you’re left with middling markets? After quite a volatile May, June has seen the stock market bounce back (albeit slightly) and the US dollar cool off..

Probabilistic Modeling for Trending Markets

Probabilistic Modeling for Trending Markets

April 22, 2022 by Frank Kaberna

Many mathematicians start with the same, single assumption when they commence any probabilistic modeling: the probability of a market moving higher or lower on any given day is 50%. Though this may seem oversimplified…

How High Will Crude Oil Prices Go?

How High Will Crude Oil Prices Go?

March 21, 2022 by Frank Kaberna

When commodity prices take off in the short term people tend to fear long-term changes to their everyday lives, especially when it comes to one with such large implications downstream as crude oil does.

The Power of the Call Option

The Power of the Call Option

March 11, 2022 by Frank Kaberna

The wide world of options can open up an everyday trader’s portfolio to P/L fluctuations unseen in the outright world of shares and futures. You can take advantage of large moves higher while only putting up a small, set amount of capital by buying calls. You can make money from a particular market’s demise without the risk of going short by buying puts.

Three Easy Ways to Buy Gold and Silver

Three Easy Ways to Buy Gold and Silver

February 1, 2022 by Frank Kaberna

Most New Year’s resolutions are doomed from the start. You create too lofty a goal that must be accomplished in 365 days and usually commit too intensely in the first 30 and fall too easily back into bad habits by day 100.

Learning Futures with Low Risk and Sound Strategy

Learning Futures with Low Risk and Sound Strategy

January 5, 2022 by Frank Kaberna

Most New Year’s resolutions are doomed from the start. You create too lofty a goal that must be accomplished in 365 days and usually commit too intensely in the first 30 and fall too easily back into bad habits by day 100.

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The StoneX Group Inc. group of companies provides financial services worldwide through its subsidiaries, including physical commodities, securities, exchange-traded and over-the-counter derivatives, risk management, global payments and foreign exchange products in accordance with applicable law in the jurisdictions where services are provided. References to over-the-counter (“OTC”) products or swaps are made on behalf of StoneX Markets LLC (“SXM”), a member of the National Futures Association (“NFA”) and provisionally registered with the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (“CFTC”) as a swap dealer. SXM’s products are designed only for individuals or firms who qualify under CFTC rules as an ‘Eligible Contract Participant’ (“ECP”) and who have been accepted as customers of SXM. StoneX Financial Inc. (“SFI”) is a member of FINRA/NFA/SIPC and registered with the MSRB. SFI does business as Daniels Trading/Top Third/Futures Online. SFI is registered with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (“SEC”) as a Broker-Dealer and with the CFTC as a Futures Commission Merchant and Commodity Trading Adviser. References to securities trading are made on behalf of the BD Division of SFI and are intended only for an audience of institutional clients as defined by FINRA Rule 4512(c). References to exchange-traded futures and options are made on behalf of the FCM Division of SFI.

Trading swaps and over-the-counter derivatives, exchange-traded derivatives and options and securities involves substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. The information herein is not a recommendation to trade nor investment research or an offer to buy or sell any derivative or security. It does not take into account your particular investment objectives, financial situation or needs and does not create a binding obligation on any of the StoneX group of companies to enter into any transaction with you. You are advised to perform an independent investigation of any transaction to determine whether any transaction is suitable for you. No part of this material may be copied, photocopied or duplicated in any form by any means or redistributed without the prior written consent of StoneX Group Inc.

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