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Is China Losing Ground in Trade Battle? Pressure Is on US Despite Positivity in US Economy
The US economy has remained on a positive jobs track and Chinese stocks have remained under pressure, and that could be suggesting that China is losing ground in the trade battle. However, dialogue in the US…
Crude Oil, Soybeans, & More Commodity Markets Vulnerable in Weeks Ahead
Given the lack of a significant negative reaction in global equity markets to the latest salvos in the US/Chinese trade battle and “goldilocks” US non-farm payroll news, it is possible that the ultimate impact of the trade problems…
Favorable Demand Conditions to Offset Vulnerabilities in Commodity Markets
Many commodity markets appear to be vulnerable to corrective action, despite the fact that the dollar is showing signs of weakening and providing support from an export perspective. Favorable weather, a historically strong start…
Trade War Threats to Cause Short Term Pain in Commodities While Gold & Treasuries May Find Support
While the trade rift between the US and China could eventually be settled peacefully, it could be very difficult to avoid further escalation in the coming week. As of last Friday, it appeared as though the trade war threats were extended beyond the governmental level and to the populace in China, with calls to “buy Chinese” and boycott US products. China also threatened to increase…
Global Growth Ahead, but Bullish Forecast for Commodities in 2018
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Tax Reform Plans Pushing Negative Buttons, Bright Spot in Energy
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A Number of Big-Picture Headwinds Continue to Threaten the Global Economy
Over the past month the markets have been presented with fears of a nuclear attack, a US or Japanese attack on North Korea, more Washington gridlock and one of the worst natural disasters in US history, and yet some equity measures are starting September at all-time highs!
US Dollar Under Pressure As Prospect for Rate Hike Drifts
The Fed symposium in Jackson Hole failed to offer any distinct direction on the state of the US economy, but recent Fed commentary suggested that a government shutdown off the budget ceiling battle and the possible effects from Hurricane Harvey could impact policy decisions next month.
Disappointing US Activity, Slide in Commodities
In retrospect, the recent sharp declines in equity prices and significant pressure on industrial commodities were justified by disappointing US scheduled data and the Fed’s move to notch interest rates upward.