Lean Hogs

Demand grows as export sales hit record highs. Were not sure that will matter this morning as the China virus story brings out the sellers.

Last week’s export demand was huge, breaks in supply driven selloffs in G should support futures and converge cash from the bottom

Hog futures were lower last week across the board, held under pressure by dwarfing supply numbers.Hogs are now the whipping post at the CME

Buy Feb- Sell April. Feb-April spreads have pulled back below 7.00. We think this is a great spot to jump in and own the front of the curve.

Supply numbers should be tightening soon and the US-China signing taking place in two weeks. There is value at the front of the curve

The pig crop and cold storage reports released after the close on Monday will set a bearish tone into the holiday trade.

We think the breeding herd will be seen as massive on Monday. We want to buy near term with demand in mind and sell deferred supply

Hog futures will get a boost to open the week with the phase 1 complete. Summer hogs should begin to trend.

US-China rhetoric turned bullish this morning as President Trump tweets a deal is “close”