I am working from home while IL has a Stay at Home order in effect until April 30. My office cell is 312-651-4621. My office phone 312-706-7610 will roll over to my cell phone if you call my trade desk. This week we talk the April WASDE, what to look for in the May WASDE, and the latest from OPEC and crude oil production cuts. Make sure you take a listen to the latest Turner’s Take Podcast!
During challenging economic times, the U.S. Federal Reserve (FED) is tasked with managing the chaos. The organization’s primary objective is clearly defined in its official mission statement:
Markets are nearly limit up as shorts cover, we think its a fade.
The 2020 outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) created a financial environment driven by angst and trepidation. COVID-19 panic swept the globe, placing the world’s capital structure under extreme pressure. The result was consistently high volatilities in the commodity, equity, currency, and debt markets.
New Crop looks bad. We estimate we lose another 150mm in demand from low energy prices in the 2020-21 marketing year. With 97 million acres and a trend line yield we see ending stocks blowing out to 3.4 billion. This puts cash prices and harvest lows under $3.
Traditional financial theory suggests that a recession is two consecutive quarters of negative growth in a nation’s gross domestic product (GDP). The underpinnings of these types of economic downturns vary. Typically, a recession is attributed to commodity pricing instability, market crashes, inflation, or extraordinary events.
In the modern era, the global credit crunch of 2008 is the standard for financial crises. A product of toxic asset securitization and subprime mortgage lending, 2008 brought to light severe shortcomings in the world’s monetary system. Twelve years later, the coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has once again forced the hand of the U.S. Federal Reserve… Read more.
I am working from home while IL has a Stay at Home order in effect. My office cell is 312-651-4621. My office phone 312-706-7610 will roll over to my cell phone if you call my trade desk. This week we talk about the steps that took place so a potential bottom could be made. I think the market is now heading into a period of wide ranging consolidation. We talk about what to look for and why in the coming weeks for stocks, energy, livestock and grains. Make sure you take a listen to the latest Turner’s Take Podcast!
The 2020 outbreak of the novel coronavirus (COVID-19) has driven unprecedented participation in the global financial markets. Heavy daily traded volumes and extreme pricing volatility have become new norms. Although the risk profile is greatly enhanced, active traders are privy to rare opportunities.
Exit April-Oct as it surges