While the Jury remains out on the situation in China, it is our opinion that most commodity markets have become too bearish toward near-term demand prospects and the global economy.
Copper
Slowdown in China’s Economy Reason For Punishing Slide in Commodity Prices
While the Jury remains out on the situation in China, it is our opinion that most commodity markets have become too bearish toward near-term demand prospects and the global economy.
Chinese Commodity Price Trends; Overblown Concerns
Make no mistake: The ebb and flow of Chinese physical commodity demand remain paramount to commodity price trends! Clearly Chinese growth has slowed, and clearly there has been an added fear of credit turmoil inside of China with their recent bond failure.
The World Economy Continues to Claw Its Way Toward Recovery
With several weeks of Dollar weakness, a series of new highs in global equity markets and significant volatility in the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index, one might view the next two weeks as extremely critical for commodity prices.
Tell-tale Signs of an Improving Global Economy
The price action in many physical commodities over the last two months has been very impressive, and that action is indicative of a global economy that is waddling its way toward recovery.
US Growth Expectations Signaling a Long, Slow Recovery
Over the last two months, the Goldman Sachs Commodity Index has racked up some fairly impressive gains, suggesting that commodities have been sensing improvement in the global economic outlook.
Overall Uncertainty Continues to Decline
The overall outlook for commodities is slightly improved from last week’s dismal view. Clearly the US economy has remained suspect in the wake of the second disappointing Non-Farm Payroll result in a row.
Recent Concern For the Pace of US Recovery
Looking at the action in stocks last week, we might develop some concern for the pace of the US recovery, especially in the wake of a soft December Non-Farm Payroll result, sub-par sales guidance from a couple of bellwether US companies and from fears that the Fed might continue to taper even in the face of uneven US data.
Surprises in the First Week of 2014
In the first week of 2014, the biggest surprises have been a strong upward reaction in precious metals prices, a series of declines in equities and a massive, concentrated slide in crude oil prices.
Know Your Limits: Day Trading Limits Explained
There are some pretty significant differences between the futures markets and the equities markets. The first big difference is the trading hours: the futures markets trade 23 hours a day for most markets versus an 8:30 AM (central time) open and a 3:00 PM close in the equities markets. The second difference is the ease… Read more.