John Payne is a Senior Futures & Options Broker and Market Strategist with Daniels Trading. He is the publisher of the grain focused newsletter called This Week in Grain. He has been working as a series 3 registered broker since 2008.
John graduated from the University of Iowa with a degree in economics. After school, John embarked on a 4 year career with the United States Navy. It was during two tours in Iraq and the Persian Gulf where John realized how important commodities are to the survival of society as we know it. It was this understanding that brought about John’s curiosity in commodities. Upon his honorable discharge in 2007, John’s intense interest in the world of commodities inspired him to move to Chicago and pursue his passion in a career in the futures arena.
After a three year position with a managed futures firm specialized in livestock trading, he was given the opportunity to join the team at Daniels Trading. Being in the business and seeing how other IB’s operated, it was the integrity and straightforward approach of the Daniels management team and brokers that attracted him to make the move. Since joining Daniels, John has broadened his fundamental and technical analysis of the markets even further. John has been writing his newsletter This Week in Grain under the Daniels banner since 2011.
Working in high pressure industries like the military and capital markets, John has learned the value of preparation in times of stress. He believes that instilling within his clients the value of a good plan and a cool head for dealing with the day to day swings of commodity markets. He treats every client as a teammate, understanding that his job is to help clients achieve their goals, whatever they may be.
John is a proud supporter of the Iraq and Afghanistan Veterans of America, the Veterans of Foreign Wars and the National Corn Growers Association. When he is not working, he enjoys athletics of all kinds and spending time with his wife and their kids.
John’s commentary is featured in the following publications:
- All Ag Radio – Sirius Channel 80
- AM 880 KRVN – Lexington, Nebraska
- RFD TV
- Wall Street Journal
- Barron’s
- China News Daily (English version)
Videos Featuring John
John Payne in the Media
Blog Posts by John
This Year in Grain and Oilseeds- 2021 (12/31/2021) - Happy New Year US M2 US FOMC Balance Sheet Velocity of M2 CORN CORN Recording Open: 487.5 High: May 7 – 735.25 Low: Jan 4- 479.5 US Yield: 177.0 SOYBEANS BEANS 12/31 Open- 1319.25 High- 1667.5, May 12 Low- 1181.25, November 9 Yield – 51.2 COTTON COTTON 12/31 Open- 78.25 High- 121.67 Low- 78.25 US… Read more.
Friday AM in Grain and Oilseeds 12/17 (12/17/2021) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
The Swine Times 12/6-12/12 (12/6/2021) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
This Week in Grain and Oilseeds 12/6-12/10 (12/6/2021) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
This Week in Grain and Oilseeds 11/22-11/26 (11/22/2021) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
This Week in Grain and Oilseeds 11/15-11/19 (11/15/2021) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
NOVEMBER WASDE WRAP 11/9 (11/9/2021) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
Bullish Pig Crop Report Sets Stage for Summer of Expensive Pork (3/26/2021) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
TWIG note 3/25- Cotton down on Chinese confrontation (3/25/2021) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
This week in Grain and Oilseeds 3/1-3/5 (3/1/2021) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
Wednesday AM in Gamestop and Oilseeds (1/27/2021) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
Thursday AM in Grain and Oilseeds 1/14 (1/14/2021) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
Tuesday AM in Grain and Oilseeds 12-22 (12/22/2020) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
USDA export sales remain strong. Cotton makes an 18 month high. (12/17/2020) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
This Week in Grain and Oilseeds 12/14-12/18 (12/14/2020) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
WASDE Recap 12/10 (12/10/2020) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
Wednesday AM in Grain and Oilseeds 12/9- CURRENCIES JUMP (12/9/2020) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
This Week in Grain- 12/7-12/11 (12/7/2020) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
Thursday AM in Grain and Oilseeds 12/3- USDA export sales and currency breakouts (12/3/2020) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
Tuesday AM in Grain and Oilseeds 12/1- Welcome to December (12/1/2020) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
This Week in Grain and Oilseeds 11/30-12/4 (11/30/2020) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
Wednesday AM in Grain and Oilseeds 11/25 (11/25/2020) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
This Week in Grain and Oilseeds 11/23-11/27 (11/23/2020) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
Friday AM in Grain and Oilseeds 11/20 (11/20/2020) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
Tuesday AM in Grain and Oilseeds 10/27 (10/27/2020) - Quiet night at the CBOT for feed grains, soybeans give back yesterday's gains. Cotton cant buy a rally amidst falling conditions.
The Swine Times 5/28-6/1 (5/28/2018) - See recommendations and market analysis for the Pork futures markets in the Swine Times for the week of May 28th through June 1st, 2018.
This Week In Grain 5/27/2016 (5/27/2016) - This is a sample entry from John Payne’s newsletter, This Week in Grain, published on Friday May 27, 2016. Hello friends! Here is a trade rec for you to chew on into the 3 day weekend! December 16 Corn vs December 17 Corn This is a trade idea for a producers or speculators alike. December… Read more.
Welcome to This Week in Grain (4/23/2014) - Learn more about This Week in Grain! John Payne explains what you get as a subscriber to his weekly grain and oilseed commentary newsletter.
TWIG Note – Bull Flags Everwhere in Corn and Soybeans (4/8/2014) - What is a bull pennant? The bullish pennant formation is found within the uptrend of a futures contract.
Two Bullish Corn Charts in a Bearish Market (10/30/2013) - As a reader of TWIG, I hope you have come to understand my major objective to inspire ideas so you can hedge or trade these grains markets on your terms. Lately, I have been asked by producers why it would make sense to re-own. Today, I am going to step out of my bear costume and put on my bulls jersey. Maybe I can inspire an idea or two to get you involved.
Get Ready For the Holidays With a Christmas Tree Spread (10/18/2012) - Learn a different way to combine options to take a specific idea and put it into action.
Futures Spread Techniques: Butterfly Futures Spread (4/14/2012) - Savvy traders, who understand the term structures of futures markets, often use the butterfly futures spread to isolate certain contracts in which they feel demand or supply will be the strongest or weakest.
The Collar: The Bread and Butter Option Strategy for Hedgers (11/21/2011) - Many believe that we are in a golden age of farming in this country. Since the summer of 2006, we have seen grain prices move in a big range, both up and down. These price fluctuations combined with below trend yields, new markets (such as China) becoming more willing buyers, and other policy factors have… Read more.
Know Your Trading Lingo: A List of Terms to Help You Speak Our Language (10/31/2011) - As you start following the futures markets, you will find that brokers, traders, and individuals in the futures/commodities industry have certain “speak”. Much like the military, where exotic terms for everything are the norm, traders have their own language that could confuse a beginner. Specific market terms are difficult to comprehend at first but are… Read more.
What’s Your Margin to Equity Ratio? (10/13/2011) - Margin Requirements Are Not Recommendations Many consider the leverage involved with futures to be a blessing and a curse. There are few investing environments that will give an individual investor as much leverage as they can receive from an FCM and exchange — those responsible for setting margins. For example, one clearing firm we work… Read more.
Eliminate Report Risk: Use Weekly Options to Hedge Short Term (9/7/2011) - A few months back, the CME Group launched weekly grain options for corn, wheat, and soybeans. On Sunday, September 25th, the CME Group will introduce Live Cattle and Soybean Oil/Meal weekly options. These options, short term in nature, will trade just like the monthly options that we all know. Each weekly option will have a… Read more.
Know Your Limits: Day Trading Limits Explained (8/3/2011) - There are some pretty significant differences between the futures markets and the equities markets. The first big difference is the trading hours: the futures markets trade 23 hours a day for most markets versus an 8:30 AM (central time) open and a 3:00 PM close in the equities markets. The second difference is the ease… Read more.
Spread Your Wings with a Butterfly Call Spread (7/26/2011) - A butterfly option spread is a multiple option position that involves the simultaneous purchase of calls or puts with the sale of calls or puts. The way the spread will be established will depend on how bullish or bearish one is on a market. The same rule applies with other option strategies; there is no… Read more.
Credit Spreads: Collect Premium While Keeping Your Clothes On (6/29/2011) - Readers of this blog should be very familiar with option spreads. We have written in the past (Option Spreads Examined Further: Measured Ways to Play Your Market Hunch, Bear Put Spreads: An Alternative to Purchasing Puts, and Bull Call Spreads: An Alternative to Purchasing Calls) about the different ways traders can participate in leveraged markets… Read more.
Using Market Correlation Data to Diversify Your Portfolio (6/23/2011) - As most investors know, hundreds of strategies and ideas exist which can be used to capitalize on any market. Undoubtedly, everyone has a different way of putting his or her money to work. Because of the development of modern portfolio theory in the country’s best management schools, one investing behavior that every money manager encourages… Read more.
Wheat By Any Other Name… (5/16/2011) - When it comes to trading wheat futures, it is paramount to know the types of wheat is out there and where to trade each variation. As the summer begins to arrive along the southwestern plains, news continues to come out about the drought and hot temperatures there creating a poor quality crop. The speculator in us all tells us to buy wheat as the supply coming online will be small and poor in quality.
“Why I Chose DT” Responses from John’s Clients
THESE TESTIMONIALS ARE FROM SELECT MEMBERS. THEIR EXPERIENCES MAY NOT BE TYPICAL OF WHAT YOU CAN EXPECT TO ACHIEVE, AS RESULTS MAY VARY. CLAIMS CONTAINED WITHIN TESTIMONIALS HAVE NOT BEEN VERIFIED. CUSTOMERS WERE NOT PAID OR COMPENSATED IN ANY WAY FOR THEIR STATEMENTS.
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