The energy markets continue to trade back into the low $40 range for front-month WTI Crude Oil before rejecting this price. Today we are seeing a rally back into the highs of last week and September. Since we have traded here before several times then reversed I’m expecting similar price action to occur in the upcoming days ahead. Fundamentally not much has changed in the oil landscape with China still carrying global oil demand. An update on the bearish side sees both OPEC and the IEA make downward global demand revisions to their forecasts this week. Surges across the world in COVID infection rates only strengthen my bearish mindset for crude oil. For these reasons, I want to fade today’s rally and establish a short position. We will be trading the December (Z) contract for additional time and because the volume-leading contract rolls to Z from X at the end of this week. I recommend the following:
SELL GCLZ20 @ 41.30 or @ Market
BUY STOP @ 42.20 ($900 risk per contract)
BUY LIMIT @ 39.50 ($1,800 profit per contract)
OR trade the Mini contract which is 1/2 the exposure per contract – QMZ20
*Risk/reward are calculated before commissions and fees*
15 MIN CL – TAS Navigator Trend Exhausted & TAS Ratio Crossing Over Lower = SELL
DAILY CL – Testing Resistance Level & TAS Ratio Crossing Over Lower = SELL
Jace Jarboe | Futures & Options Broker:
Find More Opportunities in Crude Oil Futures Like This One
This is an example of one specific trade, but navigating today’s markets can be tough for new and experienced traders alike. If you’re actively trading futures and are looking for the insight, education, and empowerment to make better trades, join the Jarboe Trading Journal for the guidance you need. In the meantime, download my free Introduction to Oil and Gas Futures guide to expand your knowledge of the energy futures markets and prepare for the next opportunity.
This material is conveyed as a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction.
This material has been prepared by a Daniels Trading broker who provides research market commentary and trade recommendations as part of his or her solicitation for accounts and solicitation for trades; however, Daniels Trading does not maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Rule 1.71. Daniels Trading, its principals, brokers and employees may trade in derivatives for their own accounts or for the accounts of others. Due to various factors (such as risk tolerance, margin requirements, trading objectives, short term vs. long term strategies, technical vs. fundamental market analysis, and other factors) such trading may result in the initiation or liquidation of positions that are different from or contrary to the opinions and recommendations contained therein.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or commodity options can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results.
Trade recommendations and profit/loss calculations may not include commissions and fees. Please consult your broker for details based on your trading arrangement and commission setup.
You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources. You should read the "risk disclosure" webpage accessed at www.DanielsTrading.com at the bottom of the homepage. Daniels Trading is not affiliated with nor does it endorse any third-party trading system, newsletter or other similar service. Daniels Trading does not guarantee or verify any performance claims made by such systems or service.