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Inside E-mini Equity Futures Webinar – Video Recast and Summary (2019-02-05)

February 5, 2019 by Jace Jarboe| Tips & Strategies

Today, Andrew Pawielski and I (Jace Jarboe) discussed the E-mini Equity Futures markets in our monthly Inside E-mini Equity Futures Webinar Series. Watch the recast from today’s event below.

Read along with PDF transcript from the webinar. Download the transcript now…

Fundamental Analysis

I discuss the current market fundamental headlines including:

Trade negotiations with China

This hot topic has been a main topic for this webinar for a few months now: trade negotiations with China. There’s still nothing official yet on an agreement but both countries are holding off any additional tariffs until their March 1st deadline. So we still have time on that but for the most part it’s been seen as more promising than not as of lately.

US Corporate Earnings

Corporate earnings have been positive for the most part. This has been helping equities move higher. The Fed left interest rates unchanged last month and had a tone of speaking afterwards that was a lot less hawkish compared to what they were 2018. It’s kind of setting the tone for 2019, in which the stock market is definitely going to like to see a less hawkish Fed and fewer rate hikes in the nearby future.

The lack of negative headlines in January, I think, is certainly in favor of the bullish camp. But there is just not enough major news to kind of keep the market from continuing to move higher. I think that’s going to be one of the main reasons we didn’t see much pull back in January with such a strong month, especially starting the year out. We’ll see if there’s any major headlines that can change that for February.

Tonight’s State of the Union from President Trump

Trump is addressing the State of the Union tonight and will probably discuss the trade war, border control, “the wall” if you will, and I’m sure there will be some kind of a discussions about different stocks and which stocks will benefit from his address tonight.

Due to data delays resulting from the government shutdown, we did not review the Commitment of Traders report today. In addition, I discuss why no major negative headlines and a dovish Fed is bullish for the equity markets longer-term.

Technical Analysis

Andrew discussed today’s bullish price action overall and the different technical setups he outlined in today’s session in the MDA Premium Room. Andrew outlined the bullish and bearish trade opportunities mentioned earlier today for day trading setups.

The 60 minute profile level is the one that updates most frequently because it’s based on 60 minute time frames. We focus in on seeing what’s taking place in the equity sector and we’re seeing bullishness across the board.

NASDAQ

There was kind of an uptick in the market today with a kind of pull back around the point of control: the fair auction value on 60 minute profiles. It’s putting us in a prime three set up, a NASDAQ term coined by Andrew Pawielski that indicates there has been an upward move, breaking all the key levels, followed by either new levels forming or pulling back maybe quarterly and making another run to the upside. This would be a momentum entry or potential pivot entry on value area lows.

Mini Dow (DIJA)

At the 60 minute levels, we’re seeing 25,343 as the upside box at value area high. If the price breaks above that given this bullish scenario, we can see the momentum breakouts through that level. The price is comfortable at 25,288, the 60 minute point of control. That could be one of the highest prices traded today. We’ll rotate around that and if we do pull back to around 25,260 / 250 area, that would indicate a pivot long opportunity.

S&P 500

In the top box from the 60 minute time frame, we see 2,734 and a quarter roughly. Longer term we’re looking to follow this upward trend and for pivot long areas or swing lows. Then watch out for momentum entries through high value areas on the top boxes on the scanner. This helps eliminate one side of the market to focus on long opportunities. Of course, shorts exist out there in the day trade and they can develop, but we try to stay with the trend once it’s developed.

There appear to be some overbought tendencies on this market with navigator and what we want to highlight today is a pull back as we work lower through the 27s. The charts indicate some volume areas that could be broken here and pull back; look for the long sides on this.

Want to learn more about E-mini trading basics? Read our guide, Introduction to E-Mini Stock Index Futures >>

Are you interested in how the E-mini Equity Futures markets are impacted by these topics? Would you see value in what we offer to clients in real-time today? If you answered yes, then check out today’s webinar or sign up to attend a future event. Or, you are always welcome to call us directly to discuss these markets.

Want to learn more about E-mini trading basics? Read our guide, Introduction to E-Mini Stock Index Futures>>

Filed Under: Tips & Strategies

About Jace Jarboe

Jace Jarboe is a Futures & Options Broker with Daniels Trading. He is a licensed Series 3 and Series 34 broker with the National Futures Association (NFA). Prior to joining the futures industry, Jace attended Indiana University where he received a Bachelor of Arts degree in Economics. Since 2016, Jace has been devoted to learning all aspects of the futures industry and is dedicated to helping his clients achieve their short and long term trading goals. Jace assists clients in a variety of commodity sectors, with both speculating and hedging, and through utilizing futures, options, spreads, and spot FX. He uses his combined technical and fundamental analysis trading style to identify the best market trends and opportunities available. Jace aims to present trade recommendations which are most suitable for each specific client depending on their risk tolerance and intended trade duration. He has worked with hundreds of clients in his experience. In 2020, Jace launched his own trading advisory to further promote his futures markets expertise to a wider audience. This market newsletter is called the Jarboe Trading Journal and focuses primarily on presenting real-time trade recommendations to subscribers.

Risk Disclosure

THIS MATERIAL IS CONVEYED AS A SOLICITATION FOR ENTERING INTO A DERIVATIVES TRANSACTION.

THIS MATERIAL HAS BEEN PREPARED BY A DANIELS TRADING BROKER WHO PROVIDES RESEARCH MARKET COMMENTARY AND TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS AS PART OF HIS OR HER SOLICITATION FOR ACCOUNTS AND SOLICITATION FOR TRADES; HOWEVER, DANIELS TRADING DOES NOT MAINTAIN A RESEARCH DEPARTMENT AS DEFINED IN CFTC RULE 1.71. DANIELS TRADING, ITS PRINCIPALS, BROKERS AND EMPLOYEES MAY TRADE IN DERIVATIVES FOR THEIR OWN ACCOUNTS OR FOR THE ACCOUNTS OF OTHERS. DUE TO VARIOUS FACTORS (SUCH AS RISK TOLERANCE, MARGIN REQUIREMENTS, TRADING OBJECTIVES, SHORT TERM VS. LONG TERM STRATEGIES, TECHNICAL VS. FUNDAMENTAL MARKET ANALYSIS, AND OTHER FACTORS) SUCH TRADING MAY RESULT IN THE INITIATION OR LIQUIDATION OF POSITIONS THAT ARE DIFFERENT FROM OR CONTRARY TO THE OPINIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS CONTAINED THEREIN.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES CONTRACTS OR COMMODITY OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL, AND THEREFORE INVESTORS SHOULD UNDERSTAND THE RISKS INVOLVED IN TAKING LEVERAGED POSITIONS AND MUST ASSUME RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH SUCH INVESTMENTS AND FOR THEIR RESULTS.

TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS AND PROFIT/LOSS CALCULATIONS MAY NOT INCLUDE COMMISSIONS AND FEES. PLEASE CONSULT YOUR BROKER FOR DETAILS BASED ON YOUR TRADING ARRANGEMENT AND COMMISSION SETUP.

YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR CIRCUMSTANCES AND FINANCIAL RESOURCES. YOU SHOULD READ THE "RISK DISCLOSURE" WEBPAGE ACCESSED AT WWW.DANIELSTRADING.COM AT THE BOTTOM OF THE HOMEPAGE. DANIELS TRADING IS NOT AFFILIATED WITH NOR DOES IT ENDORSE ANY TRADING SYSTEM, NEWSLETTER OR OTHER SIMILAR SERVICE. DANIELS TRADING DOES NOT GUARANTEE OR VERIFY ANY PERFORMANCE CLAIMS MADE BY SUCH SYSTEMS OR SERVICE.

GLOBAL ASSET ADVISORS, LLC (“GAA”) (DBA: DANIELS TRADING, TOP THIRD AG MARKETING AND FUTURES ONLINE) IS AN INTRODUCING BROKER TO GAIN CAPITAL GROUP, LLC (GCG) A FUTURES COMMISSION MERCHANT AND RETAIL FOREIGN EXCHANGE DEALER. GAA AND GCG ARE WHOLLY OWNED SUBSIDIARIES OF STONEX GROUP INC. (NASDAQ:SNEX) THE ULTIMATE PARENT COMPANY.

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Risk Disclosure

THIS MATERIAL IS CONVEYED AS A SOLICITATION FOR ENTERING INTO A DERIVATIVES TRANSACTION.

THIS MATERIAL HAS BEEN PREPARED BY A DANIELS TRADING BROKER WHO PROVIDES RESEARCH MARKET COMMENTARY AND TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS AS PART OF HIS OR HER SOLICITATION FOR ACCOUNTS AND SOLICITATION FOR TRADES; HOWEVER, DANIELS TRADING DOES NOT MAINTAIN A RESEARCH DEPARTMENT AS DEFINED IN CFTC RULE 1.71. DANIELS TRADING, ITS PRINCIPALS, BROKERS AND EMPLOYEES MAY TRADE IN DERIVATIVES FOR THEIR OWN ACCOUNTS OR FOR THE ACCOUNTS OF OTHERS. DUE TO VARIOUS FACTORS (SUCH AS RISK TOLERANCE, MARGIN REQUIREMENTS, TRADING OBJECTIVES, SHORT TERM VS. LONG TERM STRATEGIES, TECHNICAL VS. FUNDAMENTAL MARKET ANALYSIS, AND OTHER FACTORS) SUCH TRADING MAY RESULT IN THE INITIATION OR LIQUIDATION OF POSITIONS THAT ARE DIFFERENT FROM OR CONTRARY TO THE OPINIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS CONTAINED THEREIN.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES CONTRACTS OR COMMODITY OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL, AND THEREFORE INVESTORS SHOULD UNDERSTAND THE RISKS INVOLVED IN TAKING LEVERAGED POSITIONS AND MUST ASSUME RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH SUCH INVESTMENTS AND FOR THEIR RESULTS.

TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS AND PROFIT/LOSS CALCULATIONS MAY NOT INCLUDE COMMISSIONS AND FEES. PLEASE CONSULT YOUR BROKER FOR DETAILS BASED ON YOUR TRADING ARRANGEMENT AND COMMISSION SETUP.

YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR CIRCUMSTANCES AND FINANCIAL RESOURCES. YOU SHOULD READ THE "RISK DISCLOSURE" WEBPAGE ACCESSED AT WWW.DANIELSTRADING.COM AT THE BOTTOM OF THE HOMEPAGE. DANIELS TRADING IS NOT AFFILIATED WITH NOR DOES IT ENDORSE ANY TRADING SYSTEM, NEWSLETTER OR OTHER SIMILAR SERVICE. DANIELS TRADING DOES NOT GUARANTEE OR VERIFY ANY PERFORMANCE CLAIMS MADE BY SUCH SYSTEMS OR SERVICE.

GLOBAL ASSET ADVISORS, LLC (“GAA”) (DBA: DANIELS TRADING, TOP THIRD AG MARKETING AND FUTURES ONLINE) IS AN INTRODUCING BROKER TO GAIN CAPITAL GROUP, LLC (GCG) A FUTURES COMMISSION MERCHANT AND RETAIL FOREIGN EXCHANGE DEALER. GAA AND GCG ARE WHOLLY OWNED SUBSIDIARIES OF STONEX GROUP INC. (NASDAQ:SNEX) THE ULTIMATE PARENT COMPANY.

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