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Advanced Techniques for Futures Trading: Trailing Stop Strategy

January 29, 2019 by Daniels Trading| Futures 101

Futures and stock trading are two very different disciplines. While it’s true that the ultimate goal of each endeavor is to buy low and sell high (or vice-versa), the mechanisms by which this is accomplished vary. Nonetheless, no matter the market or security in question, the objective of all advanced trading strategies is simple ― make money.

Dollar Cost Averaging

In the realm of long-term investing, dollar cost averaging (DCA) is a widely accepted practice for growing and protecting wealth. Under the guiding tenets of DCA, an investor purchases securities at regular intervals, the most common of which are monthly and yearly. Individual stocks, mutual funds, or exchange traded funds (ETFs) are frequently targeted instruments.

As the name “dollar cost averaging” implies, the primary goal of the strategy is to “average in” to a security at a median price. This is accomplished over time, with many entry points contributing to a net long (or possibly short) position. Essentially, when a trader practices DCA, the peaks and valleys of a security’s pricing are mitigated; the only value that matters is the net long (or short) of the aggregate position.

DCA offers investors an opportunity to take a position in a market or security while limiting risk and guesswork. All a trader really has to do is determine how much money to allocate, a schedule for order execution, and a desired asset. Of course, as with all things trading, downsides exist. Missing out on trends and adding to an existing negative position are two of the most glaring.

Losers Average Losers

In many circles, Rule #1 of active trading is to “never add to a loser.” Countless financial experts are on record touting this as being the golden rule, akin to “knowing when to fold ‘em” in poker. From Jesse Livermore in the early days of Wall Street to Paul Tudor Jones in the 1980s, conventional wisdom has always deemed adding to a losing position as being a no-no, a precursor to gambler’s ruin.

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Rule #1 often runs contradictory to DCA methodology. If an investor buys a stock at $40 this month, after buying at $50 last month, isn’t that a flagrant investing foul? The answer is surprisingly “no.” If executed within the framework of “buy and hold” advanced trading strategies, then the investment horizon is long enough to mitigate risks associated with the negative entry. Unless you’re snatching up shares of a doomed stock (remember Enron?), the cheaper purchases will largely “average out” the more expensive ones.

However, executing a DCA strategy in futures is a bit different. Due to the fact that a futures contract has an expiration date, longer-term investment strategies are not tenable the way that they are in stocks. Eventually, the contract will come off the board, ensuring that a profit or loss on your position will be booked. It’s because of this characteristic that adding to a losing position in futures is inherently riskier than it is in stocks ― a futures contract is a perishable item while, in most cases, stocks are not.

So, the question remains: Are DCA advanced trading strategies ideal for futures? The correct answer differs — and is largely dependent upon — your resources, goals, and strategy. If executed within the framework of a comprehensive plan, it may indeed magnify returns while keeping risk in check. However, if you’re going to pile leverage on to a negative position in the futures markets, you better be aware of the following factors:

  • Timeframe: What is the trade’s horizon? Is contract expiry or end-of-day approaching?
  • Fundamentals: Economic data releases, breaking news reports, and comments from financial heavyweights can spike volatility. Increasing exposure on an already negative position during these times can be catastrophic.
  • Concrete pain threshold: It’s a fact that a considerable percentage of successful trades go negative before eventually becoming winners. If you’re going to buck short-term price action and “average in” to a position, knowing the exact point when the trade has failed is a necessity. When it’s over, get out!

The vast majority of trading literature recommends to never add to a negative position. In the words of Paul Tudor Jones “losers average losers.” While it’s tough to argue with the logic (and success) of investment legends, given the proper planning, advanced trading strategies based on averaging-in can be viable ways of trading futures.

Develop Your Own Advanced Trading Strategies

Successful futures trading is a product of desire, dedication, and humility. Being able to admit you’re wrong, take a loss, and move on to the next trade can save you countless dollars over the long-run. Nonetheless, advanced trading strategies involving adding to losers or DCA may be worth looking at, assuming you always keep risk in check.

For more information on the topics of market game-planning and strategy development, check out DT’s tips & strategies educational suite. From the application of Bollinger Bands, to the mental side of trading, this comprehensive blog has everything you need to approach the markets on your terms.

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Filed Under: Futures 101

About Daniels Trading

Daniels Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm located in the heart of Chicago’s financial district. Established by renowned commodity trader Andy Daniels in 1995, Daniels Trading is built on a culture of trust committed to the firm’s mission of Independence, Objectivity and Reliability.

Risk Disclosure

THIS MATERIAL IS CONVEYED AS A SOLICITATION FOR ENTERING INTO A DERIVATIVES TRANSACTION.

THIS MATERIAL HAS BEEN PREPARED BY A DANIELS TRADING BROKER WHO PROVIDES RESEARCH MARKET COMMENTARY AND TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS AS PART OF HIS OR HER SOLICITATION FOR ACCOUNTS AND SOLICITATION FOR TRADES; HOWEVER, DANIELS TRADING DOES NOT MAINTAIN A RESEARCH DEPARTMENT AS DEFINED IN CFTC RULE 1.71. DANIELS TRADING, ITS PRINCIPALS, BROKERS AND EMPLOYEES MAY TRADE IN DERIVATIVES FOR THEIR OWN ACCOUNTS OR FOR THE ACCOUNTS OF OTHERS. DUE TO VARIOUS FACTORS (SUCH AS RISK TOLERANCE, MARGIN REQUIREMENTS, TRADING OBJECTIVES, SHORT TERM VS. LONG TERM STRATEGIES, TECHNICAL VS. FUNDAMENTAL MARKET ANALYSIS, AND OTHER FACTORS) SUCH TRADING MAY RESULT IN THE INITIATION OR LIQUIDATION OF POSITIONS THAT ARE DIFFERENT FROM OR CONTRARY TO THE OPINIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS CONTAINED THEREIN.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES CONTRACTS OR COMMODITY OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL, AND THEREFORE INVESTORS SHOULD UNDERSTAND THE RISKS INVOLVED IN TAKING LEVERAGED POSITIONS AND MUST ASSUME RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH SUCH INVESTMENTS AND FOR THEIR RESULTS.

TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS AND PROFIT/LOSS CALCULATIONS MAY NOT INCLUDE COMMISSIONS AND FEES. PLEASE CONSULT YOUR BROKER FOR DETAILS BASED ON YOUR TRADING ARRANGEMENT AND COMMISSION SETUP.

YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR CIRCUMSTANCES AND FINANCIAL RESOURCES. YOU SHOULD READ THE "RISK DISCLOSURE" WEBPAGE ACCESSED AT WWW.DANIELSTRADING.COM AT THE BOTTOM OF THE HOMEPAGE. DANIELS TRADING IS NOT AFFILIATED WITH NOR DOES IT ENDORSE ANY TRADING SYSTEM, NEWSLETTER OR OTHER SIMILAR SERVICE. DANIELS TRADING DOES NOT GUARANTEE OR VERIFY ANY PERFORMANCE CLAIMS MADE BY SUCH SYSTEMS OR SERVICE.

GLOBAL ASSET ADVISORS, LLC (“GAA”) (DBA: DANIELS TRADING, TOP THIRD AG MARKETING AND FUTURES ONLINE) IS AN INTRODUCING BROKER TO GAIN CAPITAL GROUP, LLC (GCG) A FUTURES COMMISSION MERCHANT AND RETAIL FOREIGN EXCHANGE DEALER. GAA AND GCG ARE WHOLLY OWNED SUBSIDIARIES OF STONEX GROUP INC. (NASDAQ:SNEX) THE ULTIMATE PARENT COMPANY.

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Risk Disclosure

THIS MATERIAL IS CONVEYED AS A SOLICITATION FOR ENTERING INTO A DERIVATIVES TRANSACTION.

THIS MATERIAL HAS BEEN PREPARED BY A DANIELS TRADING BROKER WHO PROVIDES RESEARCH MARKET COMMENTARY AND TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS AS PART OF HIS OR HER SOLICITATION FOR ACCOUNTS AND SOLICITATION FOR TRADES; HOWEVER, DANIELS TRADING DOES NOT MAINTAIN A RESEARCH DEPARTMENT AS DEFINED IN CFTC RULE 1.71. DANIELS TRADING, ITS PRINCIPALS, BROKERS AND EMPLOYEES MAY TRADE IN DERIVATIVES FOR THEIR OWN ACCOUNTS OR FOR THE ACCOUNTS OF OTHERS. DUE TO VARIOUS FACTORS (SUCH AS RISK TOLERANCE, MARGIN REQUIREMENTS, TRADING OBJECTIVES, SHORT TERM VS. LONG TERM STRATEGIES, TECHNICAL VS. FUNDAMENTAL MARKET ANALYSIS, AND OTHER FACTORS) SUCH TRADING MAY RESULT IN THE INITIATION OR LIQUIDATION OF POSITIONS THAT ARE DIFFERENT FROM OR CONTRARY TO THE OPINIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS CONTAINED THEREIN.

PAST PERFORMANCE IS NOT NECESSARILY INDICATIVE OF FUTURE PERFORMANCE. THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES CONTRACTS OR COMMODITY OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL, AND THEREFORE INVESTORS SHOULD UNDERSTAND THE RISKS INVOLVED IN TAKING LEVERAGED POSITIONS AND MUST ASSUME RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH SUCH INVESTMENTS AND FOR THEIR RESULTS.

TRADE RECOMMENDATIONS AND PROFIT/LOSS CALCULATIONS MAY NOT INCLUDE COMMISSIONS AND FEES. PLEASE CONSULT YOUR BROKER FOR DETAILS BASED ON YOUR TRADING ARRANGEMENT AND COMMISSION SETUP.

YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR CIRCUMSTANCES AND FINANCIAL RESOURCES. YOU SHOULD READ THE "RISK DISCLOSURE" WEBPAGE ACCESSED AT WWW.DANIELSTRADING.COM AT THE BOTTOM OF THE HOMEPAGE. DANIELS TRADING IS NOT AFFILIATED WITH NOR DOES IT ENDORSE ANY TRADING SYSTEM, NEWSLETTER OR OTHER SIMILAR SERVICE. DANIELS TRADING DOES NOT GUARANTEE OR VERIFY ANY PERFORMANCE CLAIMS MADE BY SUCH SYSTEMS OR SERVICE.

GLOBAL ASSET ADVISORS, LLC (“GAA”) (DBA: DANIELS TRADING, TOP THIRD AG MARKETING AND FUTURES ONLINE) IS AN INTRODUCING BROKER TO GAIN CAPITAL GROUP, LLC (GCG) A FUTURES COMMISSION MERCHANT AND RETAIL FOREIGN EXCHANGE DEALER. GAA AND GCG ARE WHOLLY OWNED SUBSIDIARIES OF STONEX GROUP INC. (NASDAQ:SNEX) THE ULTIMATE PARENT COMPANY.

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