Hello hog traders
Quarterly hog and pig reports came out this morning as did cold storage. The report came out very close to expectations. All hogs came in at 102% of last year’s levels, we are at 101% breeding levels compared to a year ago while hogs marketed were up 102%. With all of that extra supply, the cold storage showed pork stocks are down from a year ago. Supply in the field is up but product in storage is down, says a lot about demand.
We will have a full breakdown of the report on Monday, but our takeaway early is bullish the front end of the curve. The market was thinking we had a wall of pigs in front of us in the short run, the report shows supply is there but not to the level we thought. The amount of bellies in cold storage is key. The report showed 36 million pounds in freezers, we feel that is light and the packer has work to do in the short run to get the number high for the summer, otherwise we could see some good upside price action down the road.
Stay long the one unit of Feb hogs
Until Tuesday. Merry Christmas.
Livestock Futures and Options to Hedging
If you are interested in the livestock commodity futures industry but feel you could use more information to get started, then download this self-study guide to learn the fundamentals of futures trading and hedging. You will receive an incredibly detailed, step-by-step explanation of the life of a livestock futures contract, as well as what tools you will need to possibly realize your goals.
This material is conveyed as a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction.
This material has been prepared by a Daniels Trading broker who provides research market commentary and trade recommendations as part of his or her solicitation for accounts and solicitation for trades; however, Daniels Trading does not maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Rule 1.71. Daniels Trading, its principals, brokers and employees may trade in derivatives for their own accounts or for the accounts of others. Due to various factors (such as risk tolerance, margin requirements, trading objectives, short term vs. long term strategies, technical vs. fundamental market analysis, and other factors) such trading may result in the initiation or liquidation of positions that are different from or contrary to the opinions and recommendations contained therein.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or commodity options can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results.
Trade recommendations and profit/loss calculations may not include commissions and fees. Please consult your broker for details based on your trading arrangement and commission setup.
You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources. You should read the "risk disclosure" webpage accessed at www.DanielsTrading.com at the bottom of the homepage. Daniels Trading is not affiliated with nor does it endorse any third-party trading system, newsletter or other similar service. Daniels Trading does not guarantee or verify any performance claims made by such systems or service.