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Home / Futures Blog / Crude oil in storage amid massive oversupply

Crude oil in storage amid massive oversupply

September 9, 2014 by Daniels Trading

According to Reuters, the world's largest super-tanker has been booked by a Chinese trading firm in order to store crude oil at sea, increasing the number of vessels used for floating storage. Benchmark oil prices were down to below $100 a barrel.

Industry sources said that the ship the Chinese firm Unipec, the marketing arm of Beijing-backed oil giant Sinopec, has booked is the 3.2-million-barrel TI Europe. This is only one of several Ultra Large Crude Carriers that are still in operation. The TI Europe is currently the world's largest ocean-going vessel based off of tonnage, and is extremely long, measuring 380 meters.

Last week, oil and gas stocks saw losses as global crude oil prices were down following a cease fire agreement between the Ukraine and pro-Russia rebels, which was seen as an important first step toward a resolution to the five-month conflict in eastern Ukraine, reports Forbes.

In addition, surprisingly weak U.S. job data, the world's largest oil consuming country, also accounted for the drop in oil prices. According to Forbes, last week the price of front-month Brent crude oil futures contract on the ICE fell by over 2.2 percent last week.

Crude oil surplus leads to old storage method
Traders across the global market were forced to rely on one of the oldest strategies after they were faced with these enormous amounts of crude oil, which includes putting oil into storage rather than selling it. Expert traders now have an avenue for making money despite the fact that relatively cheap front-month prices are bad news for oil bulls, for they can take advantage of current low prices and store barrels. Meanwhile, selling futures contracts can lock in the higher prices for crude to be delivered in several months. Traders will make money if the price difference is higher than the costs of storage and capital, reports The Wall Street Journal.

Therefore, the traders that will make money are those who already have access to a large amount of physical oil, such as pipeline companies, oil producers and trading houses.

The recent move to book the vessel is a sure sign that an oversupply of oil and falling prices have caused traders to store crude in the highest volumes since over five years ago during the financial crisis. Analysts expect there are over 50 million barrels of oil already in storage.The move also shows the expanding clout of state-backed Chinese firms in global oil trading, with Unipec and PetroChina creating sophisticated dealing desks in primary locations over recent years, such as London and Singapore. Trading sources have reported that Unipec will eventually ship cheap oil from Europe and store it near Singapore on the ULCC.

"It doesn't surprise me. They have been buying everything in northwest Europe," one oil trader told Reuters on Monday, referring to the large number of cargoes Unipec has purchased of Russia's main crude export since the beginning of this month.

The oversupply of global oil has played a major role in pushing the price of Brent crude under $100 a barrel. The Brent crude October contract for the global benchmark has fallen just under $100 a barrel for the first time in 15 months, at $99.95. This is approximately $3 under the peak of future prices next April. 

The amount of crude tankers used for storage has sharply increased after years in the doldrums. The balance is between Asia and South Africa's Saldhana Bay harbor, a possible cause for a boost in tanker rates. Rates have been lagging near a third of the level hit during the previous oversupply. 

Risk Disclosure

This material is conveyed as a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction.

This material has been prepared by a Daniels Trading broker who provides research market commentary and trade recommendations as part of his or her solicitation for accounts and solicitation for trades; however, Daniels Trading does not maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Rule 1.71. Daniels Trading, its principals, brokers and employees may trade in derivatives for their own accounts or for the accounts of others. Due to various factors (such as risk tolerance, margin requirements, trading objectives, short term vs. long term strategies, technical vs. fundamental market analysis, and other factors) such trading may result in the initiation or liquidation of positions that are different from or contrary to the opinions and recommendations contained therein.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or commodity options can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results.

Trade recommendations and profit/loss calculations may not include commissions and fees. Please consult your broker for details based on your trading arrangement and commission setup.

You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources. You should read the "risk disclosure" webpage accessed at www.DanielsTrading.com at the bottom of the homepage. Daniels Trading is not affiliated with nor does it endorse any third-party trading system, newsletter or other similar service. Daniels Trading does not guarantee or verify any performance claims made by such systems or service.

Filed Under: Archived News

About Daniels Trading

Daniels Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm located in the heart of Chicago’s financial district. Established by renowned commodity trader Andy Daniels in 1995, Daniels Trading is built on a culture of trust committed to the firm’s mission of Independence, Objectivity and Reliability.

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Risk Disclosure

This material is conveyed as a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction.

This material has been prepared by a Daniels Trading broker who provides research market commentary and trade recommendations as part of his or her solicitation for accounts and solicitation for trades; however, Daniels Trading does not maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Rule 1.71. Daniels Trading, its principals, brokers and employees may trade in derivatives for their own accounts or for the accounts of others. Due to various factors (such as risk tolerance, margin requirements, trading objectives, short term vs. long term strategies, technical vs. fundamental market analysis, and other factors) such trading may result in the initiation or liquidation of positions that are different from or contrary to the opinions and recommendations contained therein.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or commodity options can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results.

Trade recommendations and profit/loss calculations may not include commissions and fees. Please consult your broker for details based on your trading arrangement and commission setup.

You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources. You should read the "risk disclosure" webpage accessed at www.DanielsTrading.com at the bottom of the homepage. Daniels Trading is not affiliated with nor does it endorse any third-party trading system, newsletter or other similar service. Daniels Trading does not guarantee or verify any performance claims made by such systems or service.

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