• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar
  • Skip to footer

Daniels Trading

Independent. Objective. Reliable.

Top Navigation

  • Open a Futures Account
  • Sign Up
  • Log in
  • 1.800.800.3840

Primary Navigation Menu

  • About
    • Who We Are
    • Services
    • Careers
    • Risk Disclosure
    • COVID-19
  • Trade
    • Broker-Assisted
    • Self-Directed / Online
    • Request Pricing
  • Hedge
    • DanielsAg Mobile App
    • Ag Marketing Plan
    • WASDE Analysis
    • Grain Resources
    • Livestock / Dairy Resources
    • Hedging Videos
    • Request Pricing
  • Invest
    • Automated Strategies
    • Managed Futures
    • Request Pricing
  • Advisories
    • GENERAL / FUNDAMENTAL
      • DT Newsletter
      • Insider Market Advisory
      • Turner’s Take Newsletter & Podcast
    • TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
      • The Cullen Outlook
      • Data Feed Trade
      • Jarboe Trading Journal
      • Trade Spotlight
    • AG MARKETING
      • Cattleman’s Advisory
      • The Swine Times
      • Technical Ag Knowledge
      • This Week in Grain
      • Turner’s Take Ag Marketing
    • THIRD-PARTY RESOURCES
      • CFRN
      • Moore Research Center, Inc. (MRCI)
      • OptionWorks®
      • TASMarketProfile.com
  • Education
    • CME Group Resource Center
    • Small Exchange Resources
    • Guides
    • Frequently Asked Questions
    • Order Entry Handbook
    • Webinars
  • Blog
    • Futures 101
    • Ag Marketing
    • Tips & Strategies
    • Trading Advisories
  • Resources
    • Trading Software
    • Quotes and Charts
    • Futures Calendars
    • Contract Specifications
    • Margin Requirements
    • Futures Calculator
  • Accounts
    • GAIN Capital Futures
    • StoneX
  • Contact
Home / Futures Blog / Gold futures forecast to gain in November

Gold futures forecast to gain in November

November 1, 2012 by Daniels Trading

Gold futures remained well above the threshold price of $1,700 per troy ounce on Thursday, according to Reuters.

But the value of the yellowish metal is likely to be impacted by the U.S. employment report set for release on Friday.

As U.S. stocks gained in value when the first trading session of the month of November began, the U.S. dollar slipped against rival monetary units. The U.S. dollar and bullion typically perform the inverse of one another.

One senior broker noted that the precious metal's performance last month was consistent with its past record, also noting silver futures followed suit.

"The heavy metals or hard currencies still appear to be working through their October consolidations," senior broker Kurt Pfafflin with Daniels Trading said late last month. "This month, which is seasonally the worst performing month of the year, has been true to form as we’ve seen gold come off nearly $100 (or -5.5 percent) since hitting a yearly high of $1,798 on the 1st of October while silver has been knocked down nearly $4 (or -11 percent) from its high just above $35."

At 12:26 p.m. on Thursday, gold futures fell 0.06 percent, a $1 loss to $1,718.10 per troy ounce. At 12:27 p.m., silver futures increased 0.2 percent, a 0.064 cent gain to $32.38 per troy ounce.

Strength faded early
The yellowish metal was barely south of the milestone price of $1,800 per troy ounce early in October, which was prompted by the U.S. Federal Reserve announcing in September it would implement a third round of monetary easing by purchasing debt.

The purchase of assets floods the market with dollars, which pulls down the value of the dollar. Consequently, the value of the yellowish metal gained.

Increased discussion about the fiscal cliff being imminent in the U.S. also boosted the price of gold in September and early October.

But the remainder of the month of October saw the price of gold gradually slip.

The onset of monthly losses
Despite gains on Wednesday, the final day of the month of October, gold marked losses of roughly 3 percent during the first month of the final quarter of the year, according to MarketWatch.

But, nonetheless, that is not as big a deal, the senior broker with Daniels Trading said.

Rather, corrections are good for the yellowish metal, he said.

"But anytime you get a pullback like this, it creates fear and uncertainty amongst both traders and investors," Pfafflin said. "They start to ask themselves: How far will this selloff go and where do we go from here? I view these downward moves as simply part of a typical, healthy consolidation process. I don't believe we're going to be falling much lower into a deeper correction."

Losses to the yellowish metal in October snapped four consecutive months of gains.

Upward prospects
China, host of the globe's second largest economy, last month saw manufacturing develop for the first month in the past three, Bloomberg reports. That economic data is likely to be beneficial to the yellowish metal as it barrels toward a third consecutive day of gains.

Bullion has increased just short of 10 percent thus far this year as the precious metal barrels toward a 12th consecutive year of annual gains.

A strong performance in November would increase the likelihood that gold will achieve a 12th consecutive year of gains.

And this month traditionally has been beneficial to the yellowish metal, according to the senior broker.

"Over the past 11 years, the month of November has been the best-performing month, so we won’t have to wait too long to find out whether that will continue to be the case or not," Pfafflin said.

Risk Disclosure

This material is conveyed as a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction.

This material has been prepared by a Daniels Trading broker who provides research market commentary and trade recommendations as part of his or her solicitation for accounts and solicitation for trades; however, Daniels Trading does not maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Rule 1.71. Daniels Trading, its principals, brokers and employees may trade in derivatives for their own accounts or for the accounts of others. Due to various factors (such as risk tolerance, margin requirements, trading objectives, short term vs. long term strategies, technical vs. fundamental market analysis, and other factors) such trading may result in the initiation or liquidation of positions that are different from or contrary to the opinions and recommendations contained therein.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or commodity options can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results.

Trade recommendations and profit/loss calculations may not include commissions and fees. Please consult your broker for details based on your trading arrangement and commission setup.

You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources. You should read the "risk disclosure" webpage accessed at www.DanielsTrading.com at the bottom of the homepage. Daniels Trading is not affiliated with nor does it endorse any third-party trading system, newsletter or other similar service. Daniels Trading does not guarantee or verify any performance claims made by such systems or service.

Filed Under: Archived News

About Daniels Trading

Daniels Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm located in the heart of Chicago’s financial district. Established by renowned commodity trader Andy Daniels in 1995, Daniels Trading is built on a culture of trust committed to the firm’s mission of Independence, Objectivity and Reliability.

Primary Sidebar

Get Blog Updates

Subscribe to our blog and receive a daily email with information on market insights, trading tips & strategies.

Trustpilot

Footer

Site Navigation

  • Frequently Asked Questions
  • About Us
  • Customer Reviews
  • Contact Us
  • Futures Blog
  • Open a Futures Trading Account
  • Media Resources
  • Fund Your Account
  • Legal Notices

Contact Us

Daniels Trading
100 South Wacker Drive, Suite 1225
Chicago, IL 60606
+1.312.706.7600 Local / Int'l
+1.800.800.3840 Toll-Free
+1.312.706.7605 Fax

Connect with Us

Trustpilot

Copyright © 2021 · Daniels Trading. All rights reserved.

Risk Disclosure

This material is conveyed as a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction.

This material has been prepared by a Daniels Trading broker who provides research market commentary and trade recommendations as part of his or her solicitation for accounts and solicitation for trades; however, Daniels Trading does not maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Rule 1.71. Daniels Trading, its principals, brokers and employees may trade in derivatives for their own accounts or for the accounts of others. Due to various factors (such as risk tolerance, margin requirements, trading objectives, short term vs. long term strategies, technical vs. fundamental market analysis, and other factors) such trading may result in the initiation or liquidation of positions that are different from or contrary to the opinions and recommendations contained therein.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or commodity options can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results.

Trade recommendations and profit/loss calculations may not include commissions and fees. Please consult your broker for details based on your trading arrangement and commission setup.

You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources. You should read the "risk disclosure" webpage accessed at www.DanielsTrading.com at the bottom of the homepage. Daniels Trading is not affiliated with nor does it endorse any third-party trading system, newsletter or other similar service. Daniels Trading does not guarantee or verify any performance claims made by such systems or service.

  • Risk Disclosure
  • Privacy Policy
  • California Residents Privacy Notice
  • Terms of Use
  • Back to top