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Home / Futures Blog / Gold futures end Q3 on the rise

Gold futures end Q3 on the rise

September 27, 2012 by Daniels Trading

Gold futures surged the most in 14 days on Thursday as a consequence of conjecture about China preparing to publicize additional efforts to intervene and spur the globe's second-largest economy, according to Bloomberg.

The move by the Asian nation is projected to spur economic development and growth, which also drives demand for bullion's capacities of storing wealth.

For the fifth consecutive month, industrial companies in China saw profits fall last month, according to the National Statistics Bureau. Thus far this quarter, bullion has gained 10 percent, largely prompted by the U.S. Central Bank announcing a third round of quantitative easing earlier this month.

One broker said the yellowish metal is poised to have the same type of reaction if the Asian nation moves forward with its stimulus policy.

"News out of China is positive for gold," broker Carlos Perez-Santalla with PVM Futures Inc. in Hoboken, New Jersey, told the news source. "Prices continue to remain well supported from the Fed announcement."

At 10:27 a.m. on Thursday, gold futures climbed 0.81 percent, a $14.20 lift to $1,767.80 per troy ounce.

Yearly gains
Gold futures thus far this year have advanced roughly 12 percent as the precious metal drives toward a 12th consecutive year of gains.

With the third quarter's trading sessions set to close at the end of this week, bullion is soon to embark in the stretch run while within striking distance of the milestone price of $1,800 per troy ounce.

On Wednesday, the yellowish metal scraped its lowest value in two weeks, Reuters reports.

Spanish questions remain
With Spain pushing up the release of its plan to implement austerity measures, observers also note a postponement in when the country will request bailout aid, according to Reuters.

Investors, traders and analysts are anticipating the nation's request for a rescue to the country's debt-hobbled banks, but the uncertainty is trying their will.

Spain and Greece – the two-time recipient of bailout aid since the sovereign debt scourge has been attacking euro zone banks, markets and public finance systems during the past three years – also are seeing increasingly fierce public protests amid the austerity measures.

Strong month
As September's trading days come to a close on Friday, gold is set to achieve its strongest quarterly gain in at least two years. Those gains are projected to be nearly 10 percent.

The U.S. dollar, which typically performs the inverse of the precious metal, was softening in value on Thursday, which also proved to be beneficial to gold.

But one analyst said that news as of late points to the debt scourge's lasting impression.

"Short term, I think we'll see more consolidation. We'll have to see how the dollar performs. As we've seen in the last 48 hours, the crisis in Europe has resurfaced," analyst Robin Bhar with Credit Agricole told the news source. "If it comes back with a vengeance, the euro will stay weak, the dollar will stay strong, and that's going to cap the gold price."

U.S. data drives gold
The slowed-down pace of economic growth in the world's largest economy also pushed gold futures higher on Thursday, The Wall Street Journal reports.

The second quarter gross domestic product growth rate slowed to 1.3 percent, markedly lower than estimates of 1.7 percent.

The weaker data suggests the U.S. central bank will keep open its intention to ease monetary policy, which has proven to be a boon for gold.

"It was not a good number, and a number that isn't very good has been encouraging gold buyers that there will be more stimulus," vice president George Gero with RBC Capital Markets Global Futures told The Wall Street Journal.

Risk Disclosure

This material is conveyed as a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction.

This material has been prepared by a Daniels Trading broker who provides research market commentary and trade recommendations as part of his or her solicitation for accounts and solicitation for trades; however, Daniels Trading does not maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Rule 1.71. Daniels Trading, its principals, brokers and employees may trade in derivatives for their own accounts or for the accounts of others. Due to various factors (such as risk tolerance, margin requirements, trading objectives, short term vs. long term strategies, technical vs. fundamental market analysis, and other factors) such trading may result in the initiation or liquidation of positions that are different from or contrary to the opinions and recommendations contained therein.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or commodity options can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results.

Trade recommendations and profit/loss calculations may not include commissions and fees. Please consult your broker for details based on your trading arrangement and commission setup.

You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources. You should read the "risk disclosure" webpage accessed at www.DanielsTrading.com at the bottom of the homepage. Daniels Trading is not affiliated with nor does it endorse any third-party trading system, newsletter or other similar service. Daniels Trading does not guarantee or verify any performance claims made by such systems or service.

Filed Under: Archived News

About Daniels Trading

Daniels Trading is an independent futures brokerage firm located in the heart of Chicago’s financial district. Established by renowned commodity trader Andy Daniels in 1995, Daniels Trading is built on a culture of trust committed to the firm’s mission of Independence, Objectivity and Reliability.

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Risk Disclosure

This material is conveyed as a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction.

This material has been prepared by a Daniels Trading broker who provides research market commentary and trade recommendations as part of his or her solicitation for accounts and solicitation for trades; however, Daniels Trading does not maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Rule 1.71. Daniels Trading, its principals, brokers and employees may trade in derivatives for their own accounts or for the accounts of others. Due to various factors (such as risk tolerance, margin requirements, trading objectives, short term vs. long term strategies, technical vs. fundamental market analysis, and other factors) such trading may result in the initiation or liquidation of positions that are different from or contrary to the opinions and recommendations contained therein.

Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or commodity options can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results.

Trade recommendations and profit/loss calculations may not include commissions and fees. Please consult your broker for details based on your trading arrangement and commission setup.

You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources. You should read the "risk disclosure" webpage accessed at www.DanielsTrading.com at the bottom of the homepage. Daniels Trading is not affiliated with nor does it endorse any third-party trading system, newsletter or other similar service. Daniels Trading does not guarantee or verify any performance claims made by such systems or service.

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