This is a sample entry from Brian Cullen’s email newsletter, The Cullen Outlook.
October 2012 / March 2013 SUGAR spread
I look to get back involved in a spread that we were involved with back in June with a positive outcome. The formation once again looks like a great spot to re-establish the trade.
The fundamentals remain mixed as supplies and production appear to be on pace for the year, which has lead to the 400 point sell-off since the end of July. However, open interest continues rise and has reached the highest levels since our involvement in late June. This perhaps is suggesting we have quite a bit of short positions that have been added as we reach oversold territory. Should these traders begin to head to the sidelines, this should provide the support needed in the October contract for this spread to narrow before October comes off the board.
This spread has 1 month to make its move as we will have to be out of the October contract by September 26th.
- BUYING the October 2012 contract
- SELLING the March 2013 contract
***For this idea, I will be trading 2 spreads***
Premium of -70 to the SELL side (GTC)
- Risk would be the -100 level (STOP ON CLOSE) … ($336.00 per spread)
- OBJ would be the -10 level (LIMIT ORDER) … $672.00 per spread
Initial margin is $495.00 per spread
Have a look:
STOP ORDERS DO NOT NECESSARILY LIMIT YOUR LOSS TO THE STOP PRICE BECAUSE STOP ORDERS, IF THE PRICE IS HIT, BECOME MARKET ORDERS AND, DEPENDING ON MARKET CONDITIONS, THE ACTUAL FILL PRICE CAN BE DIFFERENT FROM THE STOP PRICE. IF A MARKET REACHED ITS DAILY PRICE FLUCTUATION LIMIT, A "LIMIT MOVE", IT MAY BE IMPOSSIBLE TO EXECUTE A STOP LOSS ORDER.
THE RISK OF LOSS IN TRADING FUTURES CONTRACTS OR COMMODITY OPTIONS CAN BE SUBSTANTIAL AND THEREFORE INVESTORS SHOULD UNDERSTAND THE RISKS INVOLVED IN TAKING LEVERAGED POSITIONS AND MUST ASSUME RESPONSIBILITY FOR THE RISKS ASSOCIATED WITH SUCH INVESTMENTS AND FOR THEIR RESULTS. YOU SHOULD CAREFULLY CONSIDER WHETHER SUCH TRADING IS SUITABLE FOR YOU IN LIGHT OF YOUR CIRCUMSTANCES AND FINANCIAL RESOURCES. YOU SHOULD READ THE “RISK DISCLOSURE” WEBPAGE ACCESSED AT www.danielstrading.com AT THE BOTTOM OF THE HOMEPAGE.
This material is conveyed as a solicitation for entering into a derivatives transaction.
This material has been prepared by a Daniels Trading broker who provides research market commentary and trade recommendations as part of his or her solicitation for accounts and solicitation for trades; however, Daniels Trading does not maintain a research department as defined in CFTC Rule 1.71. Daniels Trading, its principals, brokers and employees may trade in derivatives for their own accounts or for the accounts of others. Due to various factors (such as risk tolerance, margin requirements, trading objectives, short term vs. long term strategies, technical vs. fundamental market analysis, and other factors) such trading may result in the initiation or liquidation of positions that are different from or contrary to the opinions and recommendations contained therein.
Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future performance. The risk of loss in trading futures contracts or commodity options can be substantial, and therefore investors should understand the risks involved in taking leveraged positions and must assume responsibility for the risks associated with such investments and for their results.
You should carefully consider whether such trading is suitable for you in light of your circumstances and financial resources. You should read the "risk disclosure" webpage accessed at www.DanielsTrading.com at the bottom of the homepage. Daniels Trading is not affiliated with nor does it endorse any trading system, newsletter or other similar service. Daniels Trading does not guarantee or verify any performance claims made by such systems or service.