dt Futures Blog

Yuan drops for second consecutive trading session

The Chinese yuan slipped for a second consecutive trading session against the U.S. dollar on Monday after the People's Bank of China reduced the daily reference rate for the monetary unit, Bloomberg reports.

The Monday reference rate of the central bank of the Asian nation was 0.09 percent lower than it was this past Friday, tugging down the monetary unit of the world's second-biggest economy.

"Does this herald a return to the old status quo of one-way FX appreciation? Our medium-term answer is 'no,'" states an April client note penned by Asian FX research head Paul Mackel with HSBC in Hong Kong, according to Fox Business. The most recent inflows of capital into the Asian nation have been prompted by increased confidence about the monetary unit's value. "These expectations could reverse in the future should the domestic and external environments change."

Twenty-four regulations enforced by the State Administration of Foreign Exchange of the Asian nation might soon be eliminated, the agency noted on Saturday, according to Bloomberg.

But China is forecast to continue navigating through rough economic times of the sort that plagued the nation last year, according to Fox Business.

Euro drops against dollar as regional economy forecast to contract

The common currency of the European Union lost value for a third-straight trading session against the U.S. dollar amid conjecture that the regional economy of the 17-nation bloc shrank during the first quarter of the year, Bloomberg reports.

But the 17-nation currency was hovering against the Japanese yen as euro zone finance ministers prepared for Monday meetings in Brussels.

"We see the Fed still tapering their bond purchases at some stage in the second half of the year, something that should bolster the dollar more widely," currency strategist John Horner with Deutsche Bank AG in Sydney told the news service on Monday. "The U.S. economic recovery is very much entrenched at this point, and we don't need that sort of stimulus for any longer."

Gross domestic product of the region fell 0.1 percent during the first three months of this year, according to the median estimate of 39 Bloomberg-polled economists.

The euro also endured pressure after policy maker Ignazio Visco with the European Central Bank said the bank's deposit rate is prone to be slashed to negative should the economy require spurring, according to Reuters.

Crude oil futures drop as dollar’s strength grows

The emboldened U.S. dollar pulled down West Texas Intermediate crude oil futures on Friday, as the world's reserve currency pushed to its top level in more than 14 days, according to Bloomberg.

Production by all 12 member nations of the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Counties increased in April, according to the group's headquarters in the Austrian capital. But OPEC minimally changed its demand forecast.

"Commodities are taking a hit because the dollar is ripping," futures division director Bob Yawger with Mizuho Securities USA Inc. in New York told the news source on Friday. "The Dollar Index crossed 83, which is hurting all these markets."

At 10:20 a.m. on Friday, Brent crude oil futures dropped 2.42 percent, a $2.53 loss to $101.94 per barrel. At 10:24 a.m., WTI crude oil futures fell 2.66 percent, a $2.56 dive to $93.83 per barrel.

Reuters reports losses for the energy commodity also are correlated with strong and seemingly growing inventories and concerns about the outlook of China, host of the globe's second-largest economy and the world's second-largest consumer of crude oil.

Loonie dives after release of weak labor report

The Canadian dollar on Friday dropped to its week-low against the U.S. dollar after the nation released underwhelming job-creation data, Bloomberg reports.

Concerns are growing about the strength of the world's 11th-largest economy. Canada also is a top trade and commerce partner with the U.S. and it might be enduring a rough patch during the recovery from the Great Recession. Its jobs report indicated that the unemployment rate remains at 7.2 percent.

"Initially the market sells Canada on that news, but because it takes a few seconds, minutes, to digest, then they get into the details," foreign-exchange sales executive director Don Mikolich with Canadian Imperial Bank of Commerce told the news source on Friday. "Next your eyes go to unemployment and full-time, part-time, and when you look at that, it's not actually as bad as the headline would suggest. So I think at that point people probably reverse course a little bit."

In April, the Bank of Canada reduced its full-year growth prospect to 1.5 percent from 2 percent.

The Canadian job market grew in April by 12,500 jobs but the unemployment rate remaining the same is of concern, according to Reuters.

Aussie’s losses increasingly causing concern

Friday saw the Australian dollar dive toward parity with the world's reserve currency for the first time since the beginning of the second half of last year as concerns about Australia's economy were gaining momentum, according to Bloomberg.

The Aussie's losses were linked with the Australian central bank cutting the country's projections for inflation as well as slashing interest rates. The Aussie was heading toward its biggest weekly losses in one year against its cross-Pacific rival.

"The growth estimates aren't telling you that they necessarily think they're going to need to use that ammunition," currency strategy global co-head Ray Attrill with National Australia Bank Ltd. in Sydney told the news source on Friday. "It's a touch less dovish than the market was primed for. There doesn't seem to be a smoking gun here for a renewed sell-off in the Aussie."

This week's losses for the Australian dollar against the greenback are poised to be roughly 2.5 percent.

The economic state of Australia and its outlook are increasingly raising eyebrows in the South Pacific nation, according to The Wall Street Journal.

Yen slumps against dollar, euro as data notes investors look abroad

The Japanese yen fell to its four-plus year low on Friday against the U.S. dollar after the government of the Pacific Rim nation released data indicating domestic investors further developed holdings of international bonds, according to Bloomberg.

The currency of the globe's third-largest economy slumped against all 16 of its top rival monetary units amid sentiment that the economic stimulus policies of Bank of Japan president Haruhiko Kuroda and Prime Minister Shinzo Abe are prompting investors to direct their resources outside the nation.

"Japanese investors buying foreign bonds means they are seeking higher yields abroad as yields in domestic bonds are too low," senior economist Hiroaki Muto with Sumitomo Mitsui Asset Management in Tokyo told Bloomberg on Friday. "That's a sign that Kuroda's monetary easing and Abenomics are working. This also signals further weakening in the yen."

This week has been challenging for the yen, which has lost about 2.5 percent of its value against the U.S. dollar. The yen's slump this week against the euro has been about 1.6 percent.

Reuters reports the dollar's gains against the yen were linked with the U.S. Labor Department releasing stronger than forecast labor market data on Thursday.

Strong jobs data pushes up greenback against euro, yen

Strong U.S. job market data pushed up the greenback on Thursday against the Japanese yen and the common currency of the European Union, providing a brighter outlook for prospects of the world's largest economy, according to Bloomberg.

Unemployment benefit applications sank to their lowest in well more than five years and the jobless rate fell to its lowest level since the end of 2008. Speculation mounted about the U.S. Federal Reserve being more inclined to bring monetary stimulus programs to a close ahead of those of the Bank of Japan and the European Central Bank.

"The report reinforced expectations that the U.S. economy remains best placed to begin gaining traction in its recovery efforts compared to counterparts" within developed regions of the world, market strategy director Samarjit Shankar with BNY Mellon in Boston told Reuters on Wednesday.

The euro's losses were partially brought on by weak debt auction results in Spain, which served as a reminder of the 17-nation bloc's trying times.

Jobless claims dropped by 4,000 to their lowest level in since early 2008, according to Reuters. The strong data followed the U.S. Labor Department's release of welcome data late last week.

Rand pinched by preference against South Africa, finance minister says

The South African rand has been performing poorly because of resistance against it and the monetary unit is weaker than it really should be, the nation's finance minister told Bloomberg news on Thursday.

Having lost about 5.8 percent of its value thus far this year against the U.S. dollar, the South African rand is being pinched by attitudes that tend against the country, Pravin Gordhan told the news source during an interview. The finance minister spoke with the news service on Thursday at the World Economic Forum on Africa in Cape Town.

"I'm sure that they are watching carefully what's happening in Korea or Sweden or Australia, all of which have done interesting things, if you like, in terms of their central banks in order to address their economic environment," the finance minister told the news source.

The monetary unit of the largest economy on the African continent trails only the Japanese yen for currencies tracked by the news service.

Commodities' poor performance as of late also has dragged down the rand recently as the monetary unit is linked with tradables, The Wall Street Journal reports.

Sugar futures pinched by bets for stronger sales

Sugar futures were slipping on Thursday, dropping to their lowest level in about 90 days amid conjecture about increased sales from the globe's refiners, according to Bloomberg.

Also dragging down the value of the sweetener on Thursday was the prospect of more sales from Thailand, the world's second biggest exporter of the soft commodity. Production of the sweetener in Thailand is ranging from 4,000 to 6,000 metric tons per day, commodity trader F.O. Licht GmbH said earlier this month.

"There are concerns that Thailand is upping their crush to make supplies more readily available for July's Ramadan demand increase, and that this early production is leading to a glut on the market over the near term," states a Wednesday report authored by futures specialist Sterling Smith with Citigroup Inc. in Chicago, according to the news source.

At 9:24 a.m. on Thursday, sugar futures edged up 0.23 percent, a 0.0004-cent climb to 0.1751 per pound.

Reuters reports the sweetener performed strongly during the Wednesday trade session in India as traders and investors capitalized on bargain-buying fueled by aspirations for bulk consumers. 

Aussie, Kiwi surge after nations release strong jobs data

Strong employment data released by both New Zealand and Australia prompted the South Pacific nations' monetary units to gain in value against the majority of their rivals on Thursday, according to Bloomberg.

Three consecutive days of losses for the Kiwi against the U.S. dollar ended while the Aussie rose against the monetary unit of Japan as the likelihood of reductions to interest rates dropped.

"We are mindful of the volatility in the headline employment numbers, which has stepped up recently, but the reality is that monthly employment has averaged a solid 26,500 this year," senior currency strategist Sue Trinh with RBC Capital Markets told The Business Spectator on Thursday. "The firmer tone to the labor market appears consistent with what is shaping up to be a healthy first quarter gross domestic product print and reasonable economic growth in early 2013."

Australia strengthened payrolls by 50,100 jobs last month, advancing beyond the median projection of 11,000 in a survey administered by the news source.

Australia is scheduled to release on Friday its quarterly Statement on Monetary Policy, an economic forecast that is likely to impact several monetary units' performances, The Business Spectator reports.